Recent announcements from the Board of Peace on a 15-point roadmap for Hamas disarmament and phased Israeli withdrawal have intensified focus on Israel's formal position ahead of the August 7 deadline. As a founding member, Israel's participation in prior ceasefire phases established baseline engagement, yet the latest proposal's specifics on security timelines, demilitarization verification, and reconstruction oversight remain under review amid ongoing multilateral talks involving the United States, Egypt, Qatar, and Turkey. This balance in trader consensus reflects uncertainty over whether Israeli leadership will endorse the framework by the cutoff, with potential catalysts including official statements from Prime Minister Netanyahu's government, Hamas responses, or additional diplomatic assurances that could shift the implied probability in either direction before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
最新
最新
2026-08-07
是
最新
最新
2026-08-07
On July 30, 2026, the Board of Peace announced "A Roadmap for Completing the Implementation of President Trump's Comprehensive Peace Plan in Gaza" (the "Board of Peace roadmap"), setting out a phased process for disarmament in and Israeli withdrawal from the Gaza Strip.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces that it has accepted or does accept this roadmap by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Israel's acceptance of a plan described by a consensus of credible reporting as a revised or successor agreement to the initial roadmap (e.g., the implementation mechanism described in the roadmap) will qualify.
A qualifying announcement must be a declarative statement of Israel's acceptance of or commitment to this roadmap or a qualifying successor agreement.
A qualifying announcement must clearly and unambiguously identify the Board of Peace roadmap or a successor agreement. Statements that merely allude to, reference, or describe the roadmap or a successor agreement, without clearly communicating acceptance of it, do not qualify. The announcement need not use specific terminology or reference the roadmap by name, provided the substantive policy of accepting the roadmap is clearly and unambiguously communicated.
A qualifying announcement must be made through official channels, by an individual acting in an official capacity. Statements made incidentally or informally in a context not intended for official communication do not qualify.
The following do not qualify:
Anonymous, unattributed, or leaked statements not confirmed as official;
Statements by persons not authorized to speak for the government of Israel;
Third-party speculation, analysis, or predictions that the government of Israel will announce or implement acceptance of the roadmap;
Satirical, fabricated, hacked, or impersonated communications;
Announcements or acceptances of the roadmap attributed only to Hamas, the Board of Peace, the United States, mediating states, or any party other than Israel; and
Statements that describe a prospective, contingent, probable, or conditional acceptance rather than announcing a present and decided position.
Once a qualifying announcement is made, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether it is later reversed, or whether the roadmap is actually implemented in practice.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel.Recent announcements from the Board of Peace on a 15-point roadmap for Hamas disarmament and phased Israeli withdrawal have intensified focus on Israel's formal position ahead of the August 7 deadline. As a founding member, Israel's participation in prior ceasefire phases established baseline engagement, yet the latest proposal's specifics on security timelines, demilitarization verification, and reconstruction oversight remain under review amid ongoing multilateral talks involving the United States, Egypt, Qatar, and Turkey. This balance in trader consensus reflects uncertainty over whether Israeli leadership will endorse the framework by the cutoff, with potential catalysts including official statements from Prime Minister Netanyahu's government, Hamas responses, or additional diplomatic assurances that could shift the implied probability in either direction before resolution.
On July 30, 2026, the Board of Peace announced "A Roadmap for Completing the Implementation of President Trump's Comprehensive Peace Plan in Gaza" (the "Board of Peace roadmap"), setting out a phased process for disarmament in and Israeli withdrawal from the Gaza Strip.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces that it has accepted or does accept this roadmap by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Israel's acceptance of a plan described by a consensus of credible reporting as a revised or successor agreement to the initial roadmap (e.g., the implementation mechanism described in the roadmap) will qualify.
A qualifying announcement must be a declarative statement of Israel's acceptance of or commitment to this roadmap or a qualifying successor agreement.
A qualifying announcement must clearly and unambiguously identify the Board of Peace roadmap or a successor agreement. Statements that merely allude to, reference, or describe the roadmap or a successor agreement, without clearly communicating acceptance of it, do not qualify. The announcement need not use specific terminology or reference the roadmap by name, provided the substantive policy of accepting the roadmap is clearly and unambiguously communicated.
A qualifying announcement must be made through official channels, by an individual acting in an official capacity. Statements made incidentally or informally in a context not intended for official communication do not qualify.
The following do not qualify:
Anonymous, unattributed, or leaked statements not confirmed as official;
Statements by persons not authorized to speak for the government of Israel;
Third-party speculation, analysis, or predictions that the government of Israel will announce or implement acceptance of the roadmap;
Satirical, fabricated, hacked, or impersonated communications;
Announcements or acceptances of the roadmap attributed only to Hamas, the Board of Peace, the United States, mediating states, or any party other than Israel; and
Statements that describe a prospective, contingent, probable, or conditional acceptance rather than announcing a present and decided position.
Once a qualifying announcement is made, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether it is later reversed, or whether the roadmap is actually implemented in practice.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces that it has accepted or does accept this roadmap by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Israel's acceptance of a plan described by a consensus of credible reporting as a revised or successor agreement to the initial roadmap (e.g., the implementation mechanism described in the roadmap) will qualify.
A qualifying announcement must be a declarative statement of Israel's acceptance of or commitment to this roadmap or a qualifying successor agreement.
A qualifying announcement must clearly and unambiguously identify the Board of Peace roadmap or a successor agreement. Statements that merely allude to, reference, or describe the roadmap or a successor agreement, without clearly communicating acceptance of it, do not qualify. The announcement need not use specific terminology or reference the roadmap by name, provided the substantive policy of accepting the roadmap is clearly and unambiguously communicated.
A qualifying announcement must be made through official channels, by an individual acting in an official capacity. Statements made incidentally or informally in a context not intended for official communication do not qualify.
The following do not qualify:
Anonymous, unattributed, or leaked statements not confirmed as official;
Statements by persons not authorized to speak for the government of Israel;
Third-party speculation, analysis, or predictions that the government of Israel will announce or implement acceptance of the roadmap;
Satirical, fabricated, hacked, or impersonated communications;
Announcements or acceptances of the roadmap attributed only to Hamas, the Board of Peace, the United States, mediating states, or any party other than Israel; and
Statements that describe a prospective, contingent, probable, or conditional acceptance rather than announcing a present and decided position.
Once a qualifying announcement is made, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether it is later reversed, or whether the roadmap is actually implemented in practice.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel.
市场开放时间： Jul 31, 2026, 7:20 PM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-08-07市场开放时间
Jul 31, 2026, 7:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...On July 30, 2026, the Board of Peace announced "A Roadmap for Completing the Implementation of President Trump's Comprehensive Peace Plan in Gaza" (the "Board of Peace roadmap"), setting out a phased process for disarmament in and Israeli withdrawal from the Gaza Strip.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces that it has accepted or does accept this roadmap by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Israel's acceptance of a plan described by a consensus of credible reporting as a revised or successor agreement to the initial roadmap (e.g., the implementation mechanism described in the roadmap) will qualify.
A qualifying announcement must be a declarative statement of Israel's acceptance of or commitment to this roadmap or a qualifying successor agreement.
A qualifying announcement must clearly and unambiguously identify the Board of Peace roadmap or a successor agreement. Statements that merely allude to, reference, or describe the roadmap or a successor agreement, without clearly communicating acceptance of it, do not qualify. The announcement need not use specific terminology or reference the roadmap by name, provided the substantive policy of accepting the roadmap is clearly and unambiguously communicated.
A qualifying announcement must be made through official channels, by an individual acting in an official capacity. Statements made incidentally or informally in a context not intended for official communication do not qualify.
The following do not qualify:
Anonymous, unattributed, or leaked statements not confirmed as official;
Statements by persons not authorized to speak for the government of Israel;
Third-party speculation, analysis, or predictions that the government of Israel will announce or implement acceptance of the roadmap;
Satirical, fabricated, hacked, or impersonated communications;
Announcements or acceptances of the roadmap attributed only to Hamas, the Board of Peace, the United States, mediating states, or any party other than Israel; and
Statements that describe a prospective, contingent, probable, or conditional acceptance rather than announcing a present and decided position.
Once a qualifying announcement is made, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether it is later reversed, or whether the roadmap is actually implemented in practice.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel.Recent announcements from the Board of Peace on a 15-point roadmap for Hamas disarmament and phased Israeli withdrawal have intensified focus on Israel's formal position ahead of the August 7 deadline. As a founding member, Israel's participation in prior ceasefire phases established baseline engagement, yet the latest proposal's specifics on security timelines, demilitarization verification, and reconstruction oversight remain under review amid ongoing multilateral talks involving the United States, Egypt, Qatar, and Turkey. This balance in trader consensus reflects uncertainty over whether Israeli leadership will endorse the framework by the cutoff, with potential catalysts including official statements from Prime Minister Netanyahu's government, Hamas responses, or additional diplomatic assurances that could shift the implied probability in either direction before resolution.
On July 30, 2026, the Board of Peace announced "A Roadmap for Completing the Implementation of President Trump's Comprehensive Peace Plan in Gaza" (the "Board of Peace roadmap"), setting out a phased process for disarmament in and Israeli withdrawal from the Gaza Strip.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces that it has accepted or does accept this roadmap by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Israel's acceptance of a plan described by a consensus of credible reporting as a revised or successor agreement to the initial roadmap (e.g., the implementation mechanism described in the roadmap) will qualify.
A qualifying announcement must be a declarative statement of Israel's acceptance of or commitment to this roadmap or a qualifying successor agreement.
A qualifying announcement must clearly and unambiguously identify the Board of Peace roadmap or a successor agreement. Statements that merely allude to, reference, or describe the roadmap or a successor agreement, without clearly communicating acceptance of it, do not qualify. The announcement need not use specific terminology or reference the roadmap by name, provided the substantive policy of accepting the roadmap is clearly and unambiguously communicated.
A qualifying announcement must be made through official channels, by an individual acting in an official capacity. Statements made incidentally or informally in a context not intended for official communication do not qualify.
The following do not qualify:
Anonymous, unattributed, or leaked statements not confirmed as official;
Statements by persons not authorized to speak for the government of Israel;
Third-party speculation, analysis, or predictions that the government of Israel will announce or implement acceptance of the roadmap;
Satirical, fabricated, hacked, or impersonated communications;
Announcements or acceptances of the roadmap attributed only to Hamas, the Board of Peace, the United States, mediating states, or any party other than Israel; and
Statements that describe a prospective, contingent, probable, or conditional acceptance rather than announcing a present and decided position.
Once a qualifying announcement is made, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether it is later reversed, or whether the roadmap is actually implemented in practice.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces that it has accepted or does accept this roadmap by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Israel's acceptance of a plan described by a consensus of credible reporting as a revised or successor agreement to the initial roadmap (e.g., the implementation mechanism described in the roadmap) will qualify.
A qualifying announcement must be a declarative statement of Israel's acceptance of or commitment to this roadmap or a qualifying successor agreement.
A qualifying announcement must clearly and unambiguously identify the Board of Peace roadmap or a successor agreement. Statements that merely allude to, reference, or describe the roadmap or a successor agreement, without clearly communicating acceptance of it, do not qualify. The announcement need not use specific terminology or reference the roadmap by name, provided the substantive policy of accepting the roadmap is clearly and unambiguously communicated.
A qualifying announcement must be made through official channels, by an individual acting in an official capacity. Statements made incidentally or informally in a context not intended for official communication do not qualify.
The following do not qualify:
Anonymous, unattributed, or leaked statements not confirmed as official;
Statements by persons not authorized to speak for the government of Israel;
Third-party speculation, analysis, or predictions that the government of Israel will announce or implement acceptance of the roadmap;
Satirical, fabricated, hacked, or impersonated communications;
Announcements or acceptances of the roadmap attributed only to Hamas, the Board of Peace, the United States, mediating states, or any party other than Israel; and
Statements that describe a prospective, contingent, probable, or conditional acceptance rather than announcing a present and decided position.
Once a qualifying announcement is made, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether it is later reversed, or whether the roadmap is actually implemented in practice.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel.
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-08-07市场开放时间
Jul 31, 2026, 7:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent announcements from the Board of Peace on a 15-point roadmap for Hamas disarmament and phased Israeli withdrawal have intensified focus on Israel's formal position ahead of the August 7 deadline. As a founding member, Israel's participation in prior ceasefire phases established baseline engagement, yet the latest proposal's specifics on security timelines, demilitarization verification, and reconstruction oversight remain under review amid ongoing multilateral talks involving the United States, Egypt, Qatar, and Turkey. This balance in trader consensus reflects uncertainty over whether Israeli leadership will endorse the framework by the cutoff, with potential catalysts including official statements from Prime Minister Netanyahu's government, Hamas responses, or additional diplomatic assurances that could shift the implied probability in either direction before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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