Israeli military operations in Gaza have intensified sharply in recent weeks, with heavy fighting reported across multiple areas as of early May 2026. Airstrikes on May 13 and May 15 produced the highest daily casualty figures since the prior ceasefire collapsed in March, prompting the Israeli government to announce Operation Gideon's Chariots on May 16. The operation targets full territorial control of the strip to neutralize remaining Hamas infrastructure. Israeli officials cite persistent rocket threats and hostage concerns as justification for expanded ground maneuvers, while diplomatic efforts to restore a broader truce continue under U.S. mediation. These developments directly shape trader assessments of whether a large-scale incursion meeting market criteria will occur within the resolution window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$554,710 交易量
2025-10-31
6月30日
16%
12月31日
36%
$554,710 交易量
6月30日
$53,920 交易量
16%
12月31日
$24,047 交易量
36%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Israeli military operations in Gaza have intensified sharply in recent weeks, with heavy fighting reported across multiple areas as of early May 2026. Airstrikes on May 13 and May 15 produced the highest daily casualty figures since the prior ceasefire collapsed in March, prompting the Israeli government to announce Operation Gideon's Chariots on May 16. The operation targets full territorial control of the strip to neutralize remaining Hamas infrastructure. Israeli officials cite persistent rocket threats and hostage concerns as justification for expanded ground maneuvers, while diplomatic efforts to restore a broader truce continue under U.S. mediation. These developments directly shape trader assessments of whether a large-scale incursion meeting market criteria will occur within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Mar 18, 2026, 2:54 PM ET
交易量
$554,710结束日期
2025-12-31市场开放时间
Mar 18, 2026, 2:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Israeli military operations in Gaza have intensified sharply in recent weeks, with heavy fighting reported across multiple areas as of early May 2026. Airstrikes on May 13 and May 15 produced the highest daily casualty figures since the prior ceasefire collapsed in March, prompting the Israeli government to announce Operation Gideon's Chariots on May 16. The operation targets full territorial control of the strip to neutralize remaining Hamas infrastructure. Israeli officials cite persistent rocket threats and hostage concerns as justification for expanded ground maneuvers, while diplomatic efforts to restore a broader truce continue under U.S. mediation. These developments directly shape trader assessments of whether a large-scale incursion meeting market criteria will occur within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$554,710结束日期
2025-12-31市场开放时间
Mar 18, 2026, 2:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Israeli military operations in Gaza have intensified sharply in recent weeks, with heavy fighting reported across multiple areas as of early May 2026. Airstrikes on May 13 and May 15 produced the highest daily casualty figures since the prior ceasefire collapsed in March, prompting the Israeli government to announce Operation Gideon's Chariots on May 16. The operation targets full territorial control of the strip to neutralize remaining Hamas infrastructure. Israeli officials cite persistent rocket threats and hostage concerns as justification for expanded ground maneuvers, while diplomatic efforts to restore a broader truce continue under U.S. mediation. These developments directly shape trader assessments of whether a large-scale incursion meeting market criteria will occur within the resolution window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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