Israeli Defense Minister Israel Katz stated on September 16 that the IDF stands ready to resume operations against Hamas to achieve full disarmament and enable a voluntary migration plan once directed by political leadership. Southern Command continues targeted strikes and position fortification along the Yellow Line while Hamas rebuilds capabilities in uncontrolled areas, with no verified progress on U.S.-backed demilitarization under the Board of Peace framework. Israel has rejected recent roadmaps that would require withdrawal before complete weapons surrender. Preparations for a potential Gaza City operation have been reported since late August. Israel's October 27 election and subsequent U.S. policy signals could determine whether diplomacy stalls or advances before any broader ground maneuver.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$758,654 交易量
2025-10-30
12月31日
9%
$758,654 交易量
12月31日
$109,023 交易量
9%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Israeli Defense Minister Israel Katz stated on September 16 that the IDF stands ready to resume operations against Hamas to achieve full disarmament and enable a voluntary migration plan once directed by political leadership. Southern Command continues targeted strikes and position fortification along the Yellow Line while Hamas rebuilds capabilities in uncontrolled areas, with no verified progress on U.S.-backed demilitarization under the Board of Peace framework. Israel has rejected recent roadmaps that would require withdrawal before complete weapons surrender. Preparations for a potential Gaza City operation have been reported since late August. Israel's October 27 election and subsequent U.S. policy signals could determine whether diplomacy stalls or advances before any broader ground maneuver.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Mar 18, 2026, 2:54 PM ET
交易量
$758,654结束日期
2025-12-31市场开放时间
Mar 18, 2026, 2:54 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Israeli Defense Minister Israel Katz stated on September 16 that the IDF stands ready to resume operations against Hamas to achieve full disarmament and enable a voluntary migration plan once directed by political leadership. Southern Command continues targeted strikes and position fortification along the Yellow Line while Hamas rebuilds capabilities in uncontrolled areas, with no verified progress on U.S.-backed demilitarization under the Board of Peace framework. Israel has rejected recent roadmaps that would require withdrawal before complete weapons surrender. Preparations for a potential Gaza City operation have been reported since late August. Israel's October 27 election and subsequent U.S. policy signals could determine whether diplomacy stalls or advances before any broader ground maneuver.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$758,654结束日期
2025-12-31市场开放时间
Mar 18, 2026, 2:54 PM ETIsraeli Defense Minister Israel Katz stated on September 16 that the IDF stands ready to resume operations against Hamas to achieve full disarmament and enable a voluntary migration plan once directed by political leadership. Southern Command continues targeted strikes and position fortification along the Yellow Line while Hamas rebuilds capabilities in uncontrolled areas, with no verified progress on U.S.-backed demilitarization under the Board of Peace framework. Israel has rejected recent roadmaps that would require withdrawal before complete weapons surrender. Preparations for a potential Gaza City operation have been reported since late August. Israel's October 27 election and subsequent U.S. policy signals could determine whether diplomacy stalls or advances before any broader ground maneuver.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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