Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s government has prioritized de facto integration of West Bank territory through accelerated settlement approvals, land registration in Area C, and the transfer of administrative powers from military to civilian ministries, moves advanced in February 2026 and expanded further in subsequent months. These steps extend Israeli regulatory authority without a formal declaration of sovereignty, which analysts link to sustained U.S. opposition under President Trump and diplomatic warnings from partners including the UAE. Coalition pressures for explicit annexation persist, yet recent Knesset resolutions and cabinet decisions have remained non-binding or incremental, preserving flexibility ahead of potential international repercussions. Traders therefore assign an 88 percent probability against official annexation of any West Bank territory by the end of 2026, viewing the current pattern of administrative consolidation as the dominant near-term trajectory.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$67,714 交易量
$67,714 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$67,714 交易量
$67,714 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the West Bank by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s government has prioritized de facto integration of West Bank territory through accelerated settlement approvals, land registration in Area C, and the transfer of administrative powers from military to civilian ministries, moves advanced in February 2026 and expanded further in subsequent months. These steps extend Israeli regulatory authority without a formal declaration of sovereignty, which analysts link to sustained U.S. opposition under President Trump and diplomatic warnings from partners including the UAE. Coalition pressures for explicit annexation persist, yet recent Knesset resolutions and cabinet decisions have remained non-binding or incremental, preserving flexibility ahead of potential international repercussions. Traders therefore assign an 88 percent probability against official annexation of any West Bank territory by the end of 2026, viewing the current pattern of administrative consolidation as the dominant near-term trajectory.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the West Bank by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Nov 5, 2025, 2:37 PM ET
交易量
$67,714结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 2:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the West Bank by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s government has prioritized de facto integration of West Bank territory through accelerated settlement approvals, land registration in Area C, and the transfer of administrative powers from military to civilian ministries, moves advanced in February 2026 and expanded further in subsequent months. These steps extend Israeli regulatory authority without a formal declaration of sovereignty, which analysts link to sustained U.S. opposition under President Trump and diplomatic warnings from partners including the UAE. Coalition pressures for explicit annexation persist, yet recent Knesset resolutions and cabinet decisions have remained non-binding or incremental, preserving flexibility ahead of potential international repercussions. Traders therefore assign an 88 percent probability against official annexation of any West Bank territory by the end of 2026, viewing the current pattern of administrative consolidation as the dominant near-term trajectory.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the West Bank by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$67,714结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 2:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s government has prioritized de facto integration of West Bank territory through accelerated settlement approvals, land registration in Area C, and the transfer of administrative powers from military to civilian ministries, moves advanced in February 2026 and expanded further in subsequent months. These steps extend Israeli regulatory authority without a formal declaration of sovereignty, which analysts link to sustained U.S. opposition under President Trump and diplomatic warnings from partners including the UAE. Coalition pressures for explicit annexation persist, yet recent Knesset resolutions and cabinet decisions have remained non-binding or incremental, preserving flexibility ahead of potential international repercussions. Traders therefore assign an 88 percent probability against official annexation of any West Bank territory by the end of 2026, viewing the current pattern of administrative consolidation as the dominant near-term trajectory.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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