Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects an 88.5% implied probability against U.S. annexation of any territory in 2026, driven by stalled negotiations over Greenland—the primary focus of early-year rhetoric from President Trump and congressional Republicans. Despite January threats of tariffs on European allies and bills like Rep. Randy Fine's Greenland Annexation Act, Danish officials, Greenlandic leaders (with 85% public opposition), and NATO partners swiftly mobilized diplomatic pushback, including European troop deployments and warnings of alliance fracture. No military actions, formal bids, or Senate momentum have emerged since, underscoring constitutional hurdles, international law barriers, and domestic polls showing American resistance. Absent late-breaking diplomatic breakthroughs or crises by year-end, structural obstacles sustain the heavy "No" pricing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$22,830 交易量
$22,830 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$22,830 交易量
$22,830 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially annexes any territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects an 88.5% implied probability against U.S. annexation of any territory in 2026, driven by stalled negotiations over Greenland—the primary focus of early-year rhetoric from President Trump and congressional Republicans. Despite January threats of tariffs on European allies and bills like Rep. Randy Fine's Greenland Annexation Act, Danish officials, Greenlandic leaders (with 85% public opposition), and NATO partners swiftly mobilized diplomatic pushback, including European troop deployments and warnings of alliance fracture. No military actions, formal bids, or Senate momentum have emerged since, underscoring constitutional hurdles, international law barriers, and domestic polls showing American resistance. Absent late-breaking diplomatic breakthroughs or crises by year-end, structural obstacles sustain the heavy "No" pricing.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially annexes any territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Jan 6, 2026, 1:41 PM ET
交易量
$22,830结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 6, 2026, 1:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially annexes any territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects an 88.5% implied probability against U.S. annexation of any territory in 2026, driven by stalled negotiations over Greenland—the primary focus of early-year rhetoric from President Trump and congressional Republicans. Despite January threats of tariffs on European allies and bills like Rep. Randy Fine's Greenland Annexation Act, Danish officials, Greenlandic leaders (with 85% public opposition), and NATO partners swiftly mobilized diplomatic pushback, including European troop deployments and warnings of alliance fracture. No military actions, formal bids, or Senate momentum have emerged since, underscoring constitutional hurdles, international law barriers, and domestic polls showing American resistance. Absent late-breaking diplomatic breakthroughs or crises by year-end, structural obstacles sustain the heavy "No" pricing.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially annexes any territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$22,830结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 6, 2026, 1:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects an 88.5% implied probability against U.S. annexation of any territory in 2026, driven by stalled negotiations over Greenland—the primary focus of early-year rhetoric from President Trump and congressional Republicans. Despite January threats of tariffs on European allies and bills like Rep. Randy Fine's Greenland Annexation Act, Danish officials, Greenlandic leaders (with 85% public opposition), and NATO partners swiftly mobilized diplomatic pushback, including European troop deployments and warnings of alliance fracture. No military actions, formal bids, or Senate momentum have emerged since, underscoring constitutional hurdles, international law barriers, and domestic polls showing American resistance. Absent late-breaking diplomatic breakthroughs or crises by year-end, structural obstacles sustain the heavy "No" pricing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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