The U.S. has pursued an assertive counter-narcotics and hemispheric influence strategy in 2026, including the January capture of Venezuela’s president through targeted strikes and subsequent joint operations with partners such as Ecuador and Colombia. These efforts have emphasized boat interdictions, designated terrorist designations for cartels, and expanded security cooperation rather than sustained ground invasions or territorial control. With September now underway and no comparable large-scale military offensives launched against other nations, trader consensus assigns a high probability to no full invasion occurring before year-end, reflecting the administration’s preference for alliances, sanctions, and limited strikes amid competing priorities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
7% 概率
$277,066 交易量
$277,066 交易量
2026-12-31
是
7% 概率
$277,066 交易量
$277,066 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the land territory of Latin American country by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by the relevant country or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
Qualifying Latin America countries: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela,, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Haiti
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.The U.S. has pursued an assertive counter-narcotics and hemispheric influence strategy in 2026, including the January capture of Venezuela’s president through targeted strikes and subsequent joint operations with partners such as Ecuador and Colombia. These efforts have emphasized boat interdictions, designated terrorist designations for cartels, and expanded security cooperation rather than sustained ground invasions or territorial control. With September now underway and no comparable large-scale military offensives launched against other nations, trader consensus assigns a high probability to no full invasion occurring before year-end, reflecting the administration’s preference for alliances, sanctions, and limited strikes amid competing priorities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the land territory of Latin American country by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by the relevant country or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
Qualifying Latin America countries: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela,, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Haiti
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by the relevant country or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
Qualifying Latin America countries: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela,, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Haiti
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
市场开放时间： Jan 4, 2026, 4:03 PM ET
交易量
$277,066结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Jan 4, 2026, 4:03 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the land territory of Latin American country by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by the relevant country or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
Qualifying Latin America countries: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela,, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Haiti
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.The U.S. has pursued an assertive counter-narcotics and hemispheric influence strategy in 2026, including the January capture of Venezuela’s president through targeted strikes and subsequent joint operations with partners such as Ecuador and Colombia. These efforts have emphasized boat interdictions, designated terrorist designations for cartels, and expanded security cooperation rather than sustained ground invasions or territorial control. With September now underway and no comparable large-scale military offensives launched against other nations, trader consensus assigns a high probability to no full invasion occurring before year-end, reflecting the administration’s preference for alliances, sanctions, and limited strikes amid competing priorities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the land territory of Latin American country by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by the relevant country or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
Qualifying Latin America countries: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela,, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Haiti
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by the relevant country or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
Qualifying Latin America countries: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela,, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Haiti
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
交易量
$277,066结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Jan 4, 2026, 4:03 PM ETThe U.S. has pursued an assertive counter-narcotics and hemispheric influence strategy in 2026, including the January capture of Venezuela’s president through targeted strikes and subsequent joint operations with partners such as Ecuador and Colombia. These efforts have emphasized boat interdictions, designated terrorist designations for cartels, and expanded security cooperation rather than sustained ground invasions or territorial control. With September now underway and no comparable large-scale military offensives launched against other nations, trader consensus assigns a high probability to no full invasion occurring before year-end, reflecting the administration’s preference for alliances, sanctions, and limited strikes amid competing priorities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题