The January 2026 U.S. military operation in Venezuela, which captured Nicolás Maduro through targeted airstrikes and special forces without establishing prolonged territorial control, has shaped trader expectations for the remainder of the year. Subsequent actions have focused on joint strikes against designated cartels in Ecuador and Colombia, maritime interdictions, and sanctions pressure on Cuba, all framed by the administration around counternarcotics, border security, and countering external influence rather than regime change via occupation. With no announcements of sustained combat deployments or full-scale invasion plans and more than five months elapsed without escalation, market pricing reflects the narrow scope of these measures and the absence of conditions that historically precede broader military occupations in the region.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$220,329 交易量
$220,329 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$220,329 交易量
$220,329 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the land territory of Latin American country by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by the relevant country or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
Qualifying Latin America countries: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela,, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Haiti
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.The January 2026 U.S. military operation in Venezuela, which captured Nicolás Maduro through targeted airstrikes and special forces without establishing prolonged territorial control, has shaped trader expectations for the remainder of the year. Subsequent actions have focused on joint strikes against designated cartels in Ecuador and Colombia, maritime interdictions, and sanctions pressure on Cuba, all framed by the administration around counternarcotics, border security, and countering external influence rather than regime change via occupation. With no announcements of sustained combat deployments or full-scale invasion plans and more than five months elapsed without escalation, market pricing reflects the narrow scope of these measures and the absence of conditions that historically precede broader military occupations in the region.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the land territory of Latin American country by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by the relevant country or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
Qualifying Latin America countries: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela,, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Haiti
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by the relevant country or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
Qualifying Latin America countries: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela,, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Haiti
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
市场开放时间： Jan 4, 2026, 4:03 PM ET
交易量
$220,329结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 4, 2026, 4:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the land territory of Latin American country by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by the relevant country or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
Qualifying Latin America countries: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela,, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Haiti
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.The January 2026 U.S. military operation in Venezuela, which captured Nicolás Maduro through targeted airstrikes and special forces without establishing prolonged territorial control, has shaped trader expectations for the remainder of the year. Subsequent actions have focused on joint strikes against designated cartels in Ecuador and Colombia, maritime interdictions, and sanctions pressure on Cuba, all framed by the administration around counternarcotics, border security, and countering external influence rather than regime change via occupation. With no announcements of sustained combat deployments or full-scale invasion plans and more than five months elapsed without escalation, market pricing reflects the narrow scope of these measures and the absence of conditions that historically precede broader military occupations in the region.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the land territory of Latin American country by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by the relevant country or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
Qualifying Latin America countries: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela,, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Haiti
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by the relevant country or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
Qualifying Latin America countries: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela,, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Haiti
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
交易量
$220,329结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 4, 2026, 4:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The January 2026 U.S. military operation in Venezuela, which captured Nicolás Maduro through targeted airstrikes and special forces without establishing prolonged territorial control, has shaped trader expectations for the remainder of the year. Subsequent actions have focused on joint strikes against designated cartels in Ecuador and Colombia, maritime interdictions, and sanctions pressure on Cuba, all framed by the administration around counternarcotics, border security, and countering external influence rather than regime change via occupation. With no announcements of sustained combat deployments or full-scale invasion plans and more than five months elapsed without escalation, market pricing reflects the narrow scope of these measures and the absence of conditions that historically precede broader military occupations in the region.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题