Skip to main content
icon for 到8月31日,特朗普会公开侮辱谁?

到8月31日,特朗普会公开侮辱谁?

icon for 到8月31日,特朗普会公开侮辱谁?

到8月31日,特朗普会公开侮辱谁?

最新

$11,452 交易量

2026-08-31
Polymarket

$11,452 交易量

Polymarket
icon for 乔·拜登

乔·拜登

$1,972 交易量

99%

icon for 巴拉克·奥巴马

巴拉克·奥巴马

$1,448 交易量

96%

icon for 塔克·卡尔森

塔克·卡尔森

$143 交易量

81%

icon for 尼古拉斯·马杜罗

尼古拉斯·马杜罗

$0 交易量

66%

icon for 玛乔丽·泰勒·格林

玛乔丽·泰勒·格林

$0 交易量

52%

icon for 梅根·凯利

梅根·凯利

$2 交易量

49%

icon for 杰罗姆·鲍威尔

杰罗姆·鲍威尔

$20 交易量

45%

icon for 吉米·坎摩尔

吉米·坎摩尔

$0 交易量

42%

icon for Zohran Mamdani

Zohran Mamdani

$0 交易量

27%

icon for 本雅明·内塔尼亚胡

本雅明·内塔尼亚胡

$102 交易量

17%

icon for 坎迪斯·欧文斯

坎迪斯·欧文斯

$5 交易量

17%

icon for 弗拉基米尔·普京

弗拉基米尔·普京

$26 交易量

25%

icon for 凯特兰·柯林斯

凯特兰·柯林斯

$0 交易量

14%

icon for 安迪·伯纳姆

安迪·伯纳姆

$802 交易量

11%

icon for 埃马纽埃尔·马克龙

埃马纽埃尔·马克龙

$197 交易量

9%

icon for 诺拉·奥唐奈

诺拉·奥唐奈

$1,039 交易量

9%

icon for 凯文·沃什

凯文·沃什

$0 交易量

8%

icon for 弗里德里希·梅尔茨

弗里德里希·梅尔茨

$522 交易量

7%

icon for 亚历克斯·琼斯

亚历克斯·琼斯

$82 交易量

7%

icon for 埃隆·马斯克

埃隆·马斯克

$523 交易量

6%

icon for 习近平

习近平

$279 交易量

6%

icon for 维克多·欧尔班

维克多·欧尔班

$0 交易量

5%

icon for 穆罕默德·本·萨勒曼

穆罕默德·本·萨勒曼

$0 交易量

5%

icon for 教皇良十四世

教皇良十四世

$815 交易量

5%

icon for 帕姆·邦迪

帕姆·邦迪

$0 交易量

3%

icon for J.D.万斯

J.D.万斯

$529 交易量

3%

icon for 梅拉尼娅·特朗普

梅拉尼娅·特朗普

$2,946 交易量

1%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify. Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. A quote post will only qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult; a repost of another account's post will not qualify. A public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster candidate," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare"). A statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. The resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump's pattern of public criticism, evident in his July 24, 2026, speech at the rescheduled White House Correspondents' Association Dinner, continues to shape trader assessments for this market. During the event, he directed remarks at journalists by name and revived longstanding nicknames for Democratic figures including former President Biden, Senate Minority Leader Schumer, and governors or lawmakers such as Newsom, Omar, Warren, and Schiff. These statements occurred amid an administration already engaged in legal and rhetorical disputes with media outlets. With roughly one month remaining until the August 31 resolution date, traders will monitor upcoming public appearances, press interactions, and social media activity for additional targeted comments, while noting that historical frequency of such exchanges can fluctuate with legislative calendars or international developments.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.

Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. A quote post will only qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.

A public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster candidate," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare").

A statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.

The resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$11,452
结束日期
2026-08-31
市场开放时间
Jul 31, 2026, 10:33 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify. Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. A quote post will only qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult; a repost of another account's post will not qualify. A public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster candidate," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare"). A statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. The resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify. Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. A quote post will only qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult; a repost of another account's post will not qualify. A public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster candidate," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare"). A statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. The resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump's pattern of public criticism, evident in his July 24, 2026, speech at the rescheduled White House Correspondents' Association Dinner, continues to shape trader assessments for this market. During the event, he directed remarks at journalists by name and revived longstanding nicknames for Democratic figures including former President Biden, Senate Minority Leader Schumer, and governors or lawmakers such as Newsom, Omar, Warren, and Schiff. These statements occurred amid an administration already engaged in legal and rhetorical disputes with media outlets. With roughly one month remaining until the August 31 resolution date, traders will monitor upcoming public appearances, press interactions, and social media activity for additional targeted comments, while noting that historical frequency of such exchanges can fluctuate with legislative calendars or international developments.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.

Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. A quote post will only qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.

A public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster candidate," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare").

A statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.

The resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$11,452
结束日期
2026-08-31
市场开放时间
Jul 31, 2026, 10:33 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify. Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. A quote post will only qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult; a repost of another account's post will not qualify. A public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster candidate," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare"). A statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. The resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"到8月31日,特朗普会公开侮辱谁?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 27 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"乔·拜登",概率为 99%,其次是"巴拉克·奥巴马",概率为 96%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 99¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 99%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"到8月31日,特朗普会公开侮辱谁?"已产生 $11.5K 的总交易量(自Jul 31, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"到8月31日,特朗普会公开侮辱谁?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 27 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"到8月31日,特朗普会公开侮辱谁?"的当前领先者是"乔·拜登",概率为 99%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 99%。紧随其后的结果是"巴拉克·奥巴马",概率为 96%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"到8月31日,特朗普会公开侮辱谁?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。