President Trump's pattern of public criticism, evident in his July 24, 2026, speech at the rescheduled White House Correspondents' Association Dinner, continues to shape trader assessments for this market. During the event, he directed remarks at journalists by name and revived longstanding nicknames for Democratic figures including former President Biden, Senate Minority Leader Schumer, and governors or lawmakers such as Newsom, Omar, Warren, and Schiff. These statements occurred amid an administration already engaged in legal and rhetorical disputes with media outlets. With roughly one month remaining until the August 31 resolution date, traders will monitor upcoming public appearances, press interactions, and social media activity for additional targeted comments, while noting that historical frequency of such exchanges can fluctuate with legislative calendars or international developments.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$11,452 交易量

乔·拜登
99%

巴拉克·奥巴马
96%

塔克·卡尔森
81%

尼古拉斯·马杜罗
66%

玛乔丽·泰勒·格林
52%

梅根·凯利
49%

杰罗姆·鲍威尔
45%

吉米·坎摩尔
42%

Zohran Mamdani
27%

本雅明·内塔尼亚胡
17%

坎迪斯·欧文斯
17%

弗拉基米尔·普京
25%

凯特兰·柯林斯
14%

安迪·伯纳姆
11%

埃马纽埃尔·马克龙
9%

诺拉·奥唐奈
9%

凯文·沃什
8%

弗里德里希·梅尔茨
7%

亚历克斯·琼斯
7%

埃隆·马斯克
6%

习近平
6%

维克多·欧尔班
5%

穆罕默德·本·萨勒曼
5%

教皇良十四世
5%

帕姆·邦迪
3%

J.D.万斯
3%

梅拉尼娅·特朗普
1%
$11,452 交易量

乔·拜登
99%

巴拉克·奥巴马
96%

塔克·卡尔森
81%

尼古拉斯·马杜罗
66%

玛乔丽·泰勒·格林
52%

梅根·凯利
49%

杰罗姆·鲍威尔
45%

吉米·坎摩尔
42%

Zohran Mamdani
27%

本雅明·内塔尼亚胡
17%

坎迪斯·欧文斯
17%

弗拉基米尔·普京
25%

凯特兰·柯林斯
14%

安迪·伯纳姆
11%

埃马纽埃尔·马克龙
9%

诺拉·奥唐奈
9%

凯文·沃什
8%

弗里德里希·梅尔茨
7%

亚历克斯·琼斯
7%

埃隆·马斯克
6%

习近平
6%

维克多·欧尔班
5%

穆罕默德·本·萨勒曼
5%

教皇良十四世
5%

帕姆·邦迪
3%

J.D.万斯
3%

梅拉尼娅·特朗普
1%
A public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.
Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. A quote post will only qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.
A public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster candidate," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare").
A statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
The resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间: Jul 31, 2026, 10:33 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.
Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. A quote post will only qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.
A public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster candidate," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare").
A statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
The resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's pattern of public criticism, evident in his July 24, 2026, speech at the rescheduled White House Correspondents' Association Dinner, continues to shape trader assessments for this market. During the event, he directed remarks at journalists by name and revived longstanding nicknames for Democratic figures including former President Biden, Senate Minority Leader Schumer, and governors or lawmakers such as Newsom, Omar, Warren, and Schiff. These statements occurred amid an administration already engaged in legal and rhetorical disputes with media outlets. With roughly one month remaining until the August 31 resolution date, traders will monitor upcoming public appearances, press interactions, and social media activity for additional targeted comments, while noting that historical frequency of such exchanges can fluctuate with legislative calendars or international developments.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


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