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icon for 谁将成为特朗普的下一任总检察长?

谁将成为特朗普的下一任总检察长?

icon for 谁将成为特朗普的下一任总检察长?

谁将成为特朗普的下一任总检察长?

阿莉娜·哈巴 95%

托德·布兰奇 65%

埃里克·施密特 51%

李泽尔丁 49%

Polymarket
最新

阿莉娜·哈巴 95%

托德·布兰奇 65%

埃里克·施密特 51%

李泽尔丁 49%

Polymarket
最新

阿莉娜·哈巴

$0 交易量

95%

托德·布兰奇

$0 交易量

65%

埃里克·施密特

$0 交易量

51%

李泽尔丁

$0 交易量

49%

杰夫·克拉克

$0 交易量

49%

罗恩·德桑蒂斯

$0 交易量

49%

迈克·李

$0 交易量

49%

哈米特·迪伦

$0 交易量

49%

安德鲁·贝利

$0 交易量

49%

珍妮·皮罗

$0 交易量

46%

泰德·克鲁兹

$0 交易量

33%

西德尼·鲍威尔

$0 交易量

19%

This market will resolve according to the next individual to formally assume the position of Attorney General of the United States between market creation and January 19, 2029, 11:59 PM ET. A person will be considered to formally assume the position of Attorney General of the United States if they are appointed to the position by the President and confirmed by the Senate, or if they assume the position through a recess appointment. Acting or interim holders of the specified position do not qualify. If no individual assumes the position by January 19, 2029 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House or United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Todd Blanche leads trader sentiment as the frontrunner for Attorney General due to his role as acting head since April 2026 and President Trump’s formal nomination in early June. Senate Judiciary Committee hearings occurred in mid-July, yet the confirmation vote has been delayed amid concerns from Republican senators over Justice Department actions and demands for additional information. This procedural uncertainty keeps implied probabilities from rising further despite Blanche’s institutional position. Other named candidates remain clustered near even odds, reflecting limited movement toward alternatives while the nomination process remains active but unresolved. Upcoming committee actions and any holds will likely determine whether the acting attorney general secures permanent confirmation or prompts renewed speculation about replacements.

This market will resolve according to the next individual to formally assume the position of Attorney General of the United States between market creation and January 19, 2029, 11:59 PM ET.

A person will be considered to formally assume the position of Attorney General of the United States if they are appointed to the position by the President and confirmed by the Senate, or if they assume the position through a recess appointment. Acting or interim holders of the specified position do not qualify.

If no individual assumes the position by January 19, 2029 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House or United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$0
结束日期
2029-01-19
市场开放时间
Jul 31, 2026, 3:08 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the next individual to formally assume the position of Attorney General of the United States between market creation and January 19, 2029, 11:59 PM ET. A person will be considered to formally assume the position of Attorney General of the United States if they are appointed to the position by the President and confirmed by the Senate, or if they assume the position through a recess appointment. Acting or interim holders of the specified position do not qualify. If no individual assumes the position by January 19, 2029 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House or United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the next individual to formally assume the position of Attorney General of the United States between market creation and January 19, 2029, 11:59 PM ET. A person will be considered to formally assume the position of Attorney General of the United States if they are appointed to the position by the President and confirmed by the Senate, or if they assume the position through a recess appointment. Acting or interim holders of the specified position do not qualify. If no individual assumes the position by January 19, 2029 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House or United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Todd Blanche leads trader sentiment as the frontrunner for Attorney General due to his role as acting head since April 2026 and President Trump’s formal nomination in early June. Senate Judiciary Committee hearings occurred in mid-July, yet the confirmation vote has been delayed amid concerns from Republican senators over Justice Department actions and demands for additional information. This procedural uncertainty keeps implied probabilities from rising further despite Blanche’s institutional position. Other named candidates remain clustered near even odds, reflecting limited movement toward alternatives while the nomination process remains active but unresolved. Upcoming committee actions and any holds will likely determine whether the acting attorney general secures permanent confirmation or prompts renewed speculation about replacements.

This market will resolve according to the next individual to formally assume the position of Attorney General of the United States between market creation and January 19, 2029, 11:59 PM ET.

A person will be considered to formally assume the position of Attorney General of the United States if they are appointed to the position by the President and confirmed by the Senate, or if they assume the position through a recess appointment. Acting or interim holders of the specified position do not qualify.

If no individual assumes the position by January 19, 2029 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House or United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$0
结束日期
2029-01-19
市场开放时间
Jul 31, 2026, 3:08 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the next individual to formally assume the position of Attorney General of the United States between market creation and January 19, 2029, 11:59 PM ET. A person will be considered to formally assume the position of Attorney General of the United States if they are appointed to the position by the President and confirmed by the Senate, or if they assume the position through a recess appointment. Acting or interim holders of the specified position do not qualify. If no individual assumes the position by January 19, 2029 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House or United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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常见问题

"谁将成为特朗普的下一任总检察长?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 12 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"托德·布兰奇",概率为 65%,其次是"埃里克·施密特",概率为 51%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 65¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 65%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"谁将成为特朗普的下一任总检察长?"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Jul 31, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"谁将成为特朗普的下一任总检察长?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 12 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"谁将成为特朗普的下一任总检察长?"的当前领先者是"托德·布兰奇",概率为 65%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 65%。紧随其后的结果是"埃里克·施密特",概率为 51%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"谁将成为特朗普的下一任总检察长?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。