Elon Musk’s recent posting pace of roughly 24–35 tweets per day, with weekends compressing to around 11 per day, anchors trader consensus on the 40–64 range for the July 13–15 window. Trackers show this moderated volume persisting amid routine X activity tied to Grok updates and SpaceX commentary, without major catalysts like product launches or high-stakes events to accelerate output. Weekend overlap in the period further tilts implied probabilities toward mid-range totals, consistent with historical patterns where weekday averages rarely sustain above 40 daily over short stretches. Traders are pricing in the established rhythm rather than anticipating a surge, while noting that sudden platform developments could still shift the count.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于40-64 53%
<40 34%
65-89 15%
90-114 1.8%
$50,669 交易量
$50,669 交易量
<40
34%
40-64
53%
65-89
15%
90-114
2%
115-139
<1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 53%
<40 34%
65-89 15%
90-114 1.8%
$50,669 交易量
$50,669 交易量
<40
34%
40-64
53%
65-89
15%
90-114
2%
115-139
<1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市场开放时间: Jul 13, 2026, 12:16 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s recent posting pace of roughly 24–35 tweets per day, with weekends compressing to around 11 per day, anchors trader consensus on the 40–64 range for the July 13–15 window. Trackers show this moderated volume persisting amid routine X activity tied to Grok updates and SpaceX commentary, without major catalysts like product launches or high-stakes events to accelerate output. Weekend overlap in the period further tilts implied probabilities toward mid-range totals, consistent with historical patterns where weekday averages rarely sustain above 40 daily over short stretches. Traders are pricing in the established rhythm rather than anticipating a surge, while noting that sudden platform developments could still shift the count.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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