Trump's prior use of "Praise be to Allah" in Truth Social posts has occurred amid U.S.-Iran tensions and military developments, including statements on the Strait of Hormuz and reported strikes, with the most recent instances noted in June 2026. No comparable escalations or public statements invoking the phrase have surfaced in the subsequent weeks, aligning with trader views that another occurrence before July 31 remains unlikely. The current implied probability reflects this pattern of intermittent usage tied to specific foreign policy flashpoints rather than routine messaging, alongside the absence of scheduled diplomatic summits, new military actions, or Iran-related votes that could prompt repetition within the narrow resolution window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
是
A qualifying statement includes any remark by Donald Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence for the Islamic deity referred to as Allah. This can include direct praise (e.g., “Praise be to Allah”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“Allah is great”).
General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “Yes, I posted about Allah”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.
Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.
Text or speech contained in images, memes, or videos posted by Trump on his official social media accounts will qualify if it clearly expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence toward Allah, provided that any additional posted commentary from Trump does not explicitly contradict that sentiment. Media contained only within reposts or posts quoted by Trump will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.
市场开放时间: Jul 11, 2026, 11:28 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A qualifying statement includes any remark by Donald Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence for the Islamic deity referred to as Allah. This can include direct praise (e.g., “Praise be to Allah”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“Allah is great”).
General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “Yes, I posted about Allah”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.
Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.
Text or speech contained in images, memes, or videos posted by Trump on his official social media accounts will qualify if it clearly expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence toward Allah, provided that any additional posted commentary from Trump does not explicitly contradict that sentiment. Media contained only within reposts or posts quoted by Trump will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trump's prior use of "Praise be to Allah" in Truth Social posts has occurred amid U.S.-Iran tensions and military developments, including statements on the Strait of Hormuz and reported strikes, with the most recent instances noted in June 2026. No comparable escalations or public statements invoking the phrase have surfaced in the subsequent weeks, aligning with trader views that another occurrence before July 31 remains unlikely. The current implied probability reflects this pattern of intermittent usage tied to specific foreign policy flashpoints rather than routine messaging, alongside the absence of scheduled diplomatic summits, new military actions, or Iran-related votes that could prompt repetition within the narrow resolution window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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