Trump has exercised his constitutional pardon authority extensively in his second term, granting clemency to more than 1,700 individuals by mid-2026, including mass actions for January 6 defendants, alternate electors, and select donors or allies often outside standard DOJ review. Multiple rounds occurred through early 2026, with additional grants in June and July tied to specific cases such as Clean Air Act violations and political connections. Trader sentiment for markets resolving by late August reflects this pattern of intermittent but recurring use, weighed against periods of lower activity and scrutiny over restitution relief or access-based decisions. No major scheduled events or deadlines directly constrain timing, though ongoing clemency reviews and any late announcements could shift implied probabilities before month-end resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$12,854 交易量

8月31日
25%

9月30日
45%

10月31日
67%
$12,854 交易量

8月31日
25%

9月30日
45%

10月31日
67%
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市场开放时间: Jul 31, 2026, 5:42 PM ET
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Trump has exercised his constitutional pardon authority extensively in his second term, granting clemency to more than 1,700 individuals by mid-2026, including mass actions for January 6 defendants, alternate electors, and select donors or allies often outside standard DOJ review. Multiple rounds occurred through early 2026, with additional grants in June and July tied to specific cases such as Clean Air Act violations and political connections. Trader sentiment for markets resolving by late August reflects this pattern of intermittent but recurring use, weighed against periods of lower activity and scrutiny over restitution relief or access-based decisions. No major scheduled events or deadlines directly constrain timing, though ongoing clemency reviews and any late announcements could shift implied probabilities before month-end resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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