Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen top Polymarket trader consensus at 43.9% implied probability to win Eurovision 2026, propelled by their UMK national selection victory with the high-energy "Liekinheitin"—a violin-driven powerhouse that dominated OGAE fan polls and rehearsal previews, securing strong Semi-final 1 qualification yesterday. Greece's Akylas follows at 14% on infectious "Ferto" televote buzz but lags with jury concerns over vocal stability, while Denmark's Søren Torpegaard climbed to 12.7% after a standout 30-second rehearsal clip edged out Greece, positioning it as a dark horse compromise. With Semi-final 2 looming tomorrow and the Vienna grand final Saturday, jury-public vote splits and staging polish remain pivotal swing factors in this liquid market.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于2026年欧洲电视网冠军
2026年欧洲电视网冠军
芬兰 43.9%
希腊 14.0%
丹麦 12.5%
澳大利亚 5.6%
$157,799,535 交易量
$157,799,535 交易量
芬兰
44%
希腊
14%
丹麦
13%
澳大利亚
6%
以色列
6%
法国
5%
罗马尼亚
4%
意大利
2%
摩尔多瓦
1%
乌克兰
1%
克罗地亚
1%
马耳他
1%
瑞典
1%
捷克
1%
保加利亚
1%
塞浦路斯
1%
阿尔巴尼亚
<1%
挪威
<1%
塞尔维亚
<1%
卢森堡
<1%
波兰
<1%
奥地利
<1%
德国
<1%
拉脱维亚
<1%
亚美尼亚
<1%
立陶宛
<1%
瑞士
<1%
英国
<1%
比利时
<1%
阿塞拜疆
<1%
芬兰 43.9%
希腊 14.0%
丹麦 12.5%
澳大利亚 5.6%
$157,799,535 交易量
$157,799,535 交易量
芬兰
44%
希腊
14%
丹麦
13%
澳大利亚
6%
以色列
6%
法国
5%
罗马尼亚
4%
意大利
2%
摩尔多瓦
1%
乌克兰
1%
克罗地亚
1%
马耳他
1%
瑞典
1%
捷克
1%
保加利亚
1%
塞浦路斯
1%
阿尔巴尼亚
<1%
挪威
<1%
塞尔维亚
<1%
卢森堡
<1%
波兰
<1%
奥地利
<1%
德国
<1%
拉脱维亚
<1%
亚美尼亚
<1%
立陶宛
<1%
瑞士
<1%
英国
<1%
比利时
<1%
阿塞拜疆
<1%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
市场开放时间： Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen top Polymarket trader consensus at 43.9% implied probability to win Eurovision 2026, propelled by their UMK national selection victory with the high-energy "Liekinheitin"—a violin-driven powerhouse that dominated OGAE fan polls and rehearsal previews, securing strong Semi-final 1 qualification yesterday. Greece's Akylas follows at 14% on infectious "Ferto" televote buzz but lags with jury concerns over vocal stability, while Denmark's Søren Torpegaard climbed to 12.7% after a standout 30-second rehearsal clip edged out Greece, positioning it as a dark horse compromise. With Semi-final 2 looming tomorrow and the Vienna grand final Saturday, jury-public vote splits and staging polish remain pivotal swing factors in this liquid market.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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