Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Drake's ninth studio album ICEMAN, due May 15, as a tight contest between 80–90 minutes (39.5% implied probability) and 50–60 minutes (36%), reflecting uncertainty amid the secretive rollout with no official tracklist, cover art, or previews disclosed just three days pre-release. Recent silence from Drake and his team—despite Episode 4 livestream set for May 14—has intensified speculation, pitting expectations of a sprawling, bar-heavy project akin to Scorpion (90+ minutes, 25 tracks) or For All the Dogs (85 minutes, 23 tracks) against rumors of a more concise post-beef effort like Honestly, Nevermind (46 minutes, 14 tracks). DJ Akademiks' May 7 claim of 20–26 tracks tilts toward longer runtimes at 70–90 minutes, but fake leaks and historical variety keep the field competitive ahead of streaming debut metrics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于How long will ICEMAN be?
How long will ICEMAN be?
90+ minutes 38%
60 - 70 minutes 33%
50 - 60 minutes 31%
70 - 80 minutes 29%
最新
最新
2026-05-15
<30 minutes
1%
30 - 40 minutes
5%
40 - 50 minutes
27%
50 - 60 minutes
31%
60 - 70 minutes
33%
70 - 80 minutes
29%
80 - 90 minutes
47%
90+ minutes
38%
90+ minutes 38%
60 - 70 minutes 33%
50 - 60 minutes 31%
70 - 80 minutes 29%
最新
最新
2026-05-15
<30 minutes
$747 交易量
1%
30 - 40 minutes
$417 交易量
5%
40 - 50 minutes
$70 交易量
27%
50 - 60 minutes
$31 交易量
31%
60 - 70 minutes
$8 交易量
33%
70 - 80 minutes
$27 交易量
29%
80 - 90 minutes
$13 交易量
47%
90+ minutes
$46 交易量
38%
Drake is expected to release his new album 'ICEMAN' in 2026.
This market will resolve based on the length of 'ICEMAN'.
The album length will be measured from the start of the first song to the end of the final song on the album once it is officially released in full.
Officially released means that 'ICEMAN' is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Any Drake album officially confirmed to be the 'ICEMAN' project will count, regardless of potential name changes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If 'ICEMAN' is not released by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify. If these sources disagree, this market will resolve solely based on the length of the album as released on Spotify.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Drake's ninth studio album ICEMAN, due May 15, as a tight contest between 80–90 minutes (39.5% implied probability) and 50–60 minutes (36%), reflecting uncertainty amid the secretive rollout with no official tracklist, cover art, or previews disclosed just three days pre-release. Recent silence from Drake and his team—despite Episode 4 livestream set for May 14—has intensified speculation, pitting expectations of a sprawling, bar-heavy project akin to Scorpion (90+ minutes, 25 tracks) or For All the Dogs (85 minutes, 23 tracks) against rumors of a more concise post-beef effort like Honestly, Nevermind (46 minutes, 14 tracks). DJ Akademiks' May 7 claim of 20–26 tracks tilts toward longer runtimes at 70–90 minutes, but fake leaks and historical variety keep the field competitive ahead of streaming debut metrics.
Drake is expected to release his new album 'ICEMAN' in 2026.
This market will resolve based on the length of 'ICEMAN'.
The album length will be measured from the start of the first song to the end of the final song on the album once it is officially released in full.
Officially released means that 'ICEMAN' is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Any Drake album officially confirmed to be the 'ICEMAN' project will count, regardless of potential name changes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If 'ICEMAN' is not released by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify. If these sources disagree, this market will resolve solely based on the length of the album as released on Spotify.
This market will resolve based on the length of 'ICEMAN'.
The album length will be measured from the start of the first song to the end of the final song on the album once it is officially released in full.
Officially released means that 'ICEMAN' is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Any Drake album officially confirmed to be the 'ICEMAN' project will count, regardless of potential name changes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If 'ICEMAN' is not released by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify. If these sources disagree, this market will resolve solely based on the length of the album as released on Spotify.
市场开放时间： Apr 23, 2026, 5:52 PM ET
交易量
$1,358结束日期
2026-05-15市场开放时间
Apr 23, 2026, 5:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Drake is expected to release his new album 'ICEMAN' in 2026.
This market will resolve based on the length of 'ICEMAN'.
The album length will be measured from the start of the first song to the end of the final song on the album once it is officially released in full.
Officially released means that 'ICEMAN' is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Any Drake album officially confirmed to be the 'ICEMAN' project will count, regardless of potential name changes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If 'ICEMAN' is not released by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify. If these sources disagree, this market will resolve solely based on the length of the album as released on Spotify.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Drake's ninth studio album ICEMAN, due May 15, as a tight contest between 80–90 minutes (39.5% implied probability) and 50–60 minutes (36%), reflecting uncertainty amid the secretive rollout with no official tracklist, cover art, or previews disclosed just three days pre-release. Recent silence from Drake and his team—despite Episode 4 livestream set for May 14—has intensified speculation, pitting expectations of a sprawling, bar-heavy project akin to Scorpion (90+ minutes, 25 tracks) or For All the Dogs (85 minutes, 23 tracks) against rumors of a more concise post-beef effort like Honestly, Nevermind (46 minutes, 14 tracks). DJ Akademiks' May 7 claim of 20–26 tracks tilts toward longer runtimes at 70–90 minutes, but fake leaks and historical variety keep the field competitive ahead of streaming debut metrics.
Drake is expected to release his new album 'ICEMAN' in 2026.
This market will resolve based on the length of 'ICEMAN'.
The album length will be measured from the start of the first song to the end of the final song on the album once it is officially released in full.
Officially released means that 'ICEMAN' is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Any Drake album officially confirmed to be the 'ICEMAN' project will count, regardless of potential name changes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If 'ICEMAN' is not released by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify. If these sources disagree, this market will resolve solely based on the length of the album as released on Spotify.
This market will resolve based on the length of 'ICEMAN'.
The album length will be measured from the start of the first song to the end of the final song on the album once it is officially released in full.
Officially released means that 'ICEMAN' is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Any Drake album officially confirmed to be the 'ICEMAN' project will count, regardless of potential name changes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If 'ICEMAN' is not released by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify. If these sources disagree, this market will resolve solely based on the length of the album as released on Spotify.
交易量
$1,358结束日期
2026-05-15市场开放时间
Apr 23, 2026, 5:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Drake's ninth studio album ICEMAN, due May 15, as a tight contest between 80–90 minutes (39.5% implied probability) and 50–60 minutes (36%), reflecting uncertainty amid the secretive rollout with no official tracklist, cover art, or previews disclosed just three days pre-release. Recent silence from Drake and his team—despite Episode 4 livestream set for May 14—has intensified speculation, pitting expectations of a sprawling, bar-heavy project akin to Scorpion (90+ minutes, 25 tracks) or For All the Dogs (85 minutes, 23 tracks) against rumors of a more concise post-beef effort like Honestly, Nevermind (46 minutes, 14 tracks). DJ Akademiks' May 7 claim of 20–26 tracks tilts toward longer runtimes at 70–90 minutes, but fake leaks and historical variety keep the field competitive ahead of streaming debut metrics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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