Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen top trader consensus at 43.9% implied probability to win Eurovision 2026, propelled by standout first semi-final qualification on May 12 and glowing rehearsal feedback for their violin-driven "Liekinheitin," granted special live performance permission by organizers. The duo's high-energy pop-folk blend has dominated bookie odds and fan polls since national selection, echoing Nordic frontrunner momentum seen in recent contests. Greece's Akylas follows at 14% with the edgy "Ferto," buoyed by similar semi-final advancement and strong streaming buzz, while Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund holds 12.7% on melodic appeal in "Før vi går hjem" ahead of second semi-final risks. Traders eye jury-televote splits and Vienna final on May 16 as pivotal swing factors in this liquid market.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于2026年欧洲电视网冠军
2026年欧洲电视网冠军
芬兰 43.9%
希腊 14.0%
丹麦 12.7%
澳大利亚 5.7%
$157,680,236 交易量
$157,680,236 交易量

芬兰
44%

希腊
14%

丹麦
13%

澳大利亚
6%

以色列
6%

法国
5%

罗马尼亚
4%

意大利
2%

摩尔多瓦
1%

克罗地亚
1%

乌克兰
1%

马耳他
1%

瑞典
1%

捷克
1%

保加利亚
1%

塞浦路斯
1%

阿尔巴尼亚
<1%

挪威
<1%

塞尔维亚
<1%

卢森堡
<1%

波兰
<1%

奥地利
<1%

德国
<1%

拉脱维亚
<1%

亚美尼亚
<1%

立陶宛
<1%

瑞士
<1%

英国
<1%

比利时
<1%

阿塞拜疆
<1%
芬兰 43.9%
希腊 14.0%
丹麦 12.7%
澳大利亚 5.7%
$157,680,236 交易量
$157,680,236 交易量

芬兰
44%

希腊
14%

丹麦
13%

澳大利亚
6%

以色列
6%

法国
5%

罗马尼亚
4%

意大利
2%

摩尔多瓦
1%

克罗地亚
1%

乌克兰
1%

马耳他
1%

瑞典
1%

捷克
1%

保加利亚
1%

塞浦路斯
1%

阿尔巴尼亚
<1%

挪威
<1%

塞尔维亚
<1%

卢森堡
<1%

波兰
<1%

奥地利
<1%

德国
<1%

拉脱维亚
<1%

亚美尼亚
<1%

立陶宛
<1%

瑞士
<1%

英国
<1%

比利时
<1%

阿塞拜疆
<1%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
市场开放时间: Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen top trader consensus at 43.9% implied probability to win Eurovision 2026, propelled by standout first semi-final qualification on May 12 and glowing rehearsal feedback for their violin-driven "Liekinheitin," granted special live performance permission by organizers. The duo's high-energy pop-folk blend has dominated bookie odds and fan polls since national selection, echoing Nordic frontrunner momentum seen in recent contests. Greece's Akylas follows at 14% with the edgy "Ferto," buoyed by similar semi-final advancement and strong streaming buzz, while Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund holds 12.7% on melodic appeal in "Før vi går hjem" ahead of second semi-final risks. Traders eye jury-televote splits and Vienna final on May 16 as pivotal swing factors in this liquid market.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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