Kimi Antonelli holds the top implied probability in the Italian Grand Prix driver winner market at 27% due to his commanding 2026 drivers' championship lead with Mercedes, multiple victories, and strong recent form entering his home race at Monza. The Italian teenager's pace and consistency have outpaced teammate George Russell, while Ferrari's Lewis Hamilton and the McLaren duo of Lando Norris and Oscar Piastri remain close in the standings with competitive machinery. Max Verstappen and Charles Leclerc factor into the mix amid a tightly contested midfield, but the wide-open probabilities reflect variable track characteristics at Monza, potential reliability factors, and the unpredictability of qualifying and race-day strategy in Formula 1.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Kimi Antonelli 27%
Lewis Hamilton 18%
Lando Norris 15%
Oscar Piastri 14%
Kimi Antonelli
27%
Lewis Hamilton
18%
Lando Norris
15%
Oscar Piastri
14%
George Russell
14%
Charles Leclerc
14%
Max Verstappen
11%
Gabriel Bortoleto
10%
Carlos Sainz Jr.
10%
Esteban Ocon
10%
Arvid Lindblad
9%
Alexander Albon
1%
Oliver Bearman
1%
Lance Stroll
1%
Pierre Gasly
1%
Fernando Alonso
1%
Valtteri Bottas
1%
Sergio Perez
1%
Nico Hulkenberg
1%
Isack Hadjar
<1%
Liam Lawson
<1%
Franco Colapinto
<1%
Kimi Antonelli 27%
Lewis Hamilton 18%
Lando Norris 15%
Oscar Piastri 14%
Kimi Antonelli
27%
Lewis Hamilton
18%
Lando Norris
15%
Oscar Piastri
14%
George Russell
14%
Charles Leclerc
14%
Max Verstappen
11%
Gabriel Bortoleto
10%
Carlos Sainz Jr.
10%
Esteban Ocon
10%
Arvid Lindblad
9%
Alexander Albon
1%
Oliver Bearman
1%
Lance Stroll
1%
Pierre Gasly
1%
Fernando Alonso
1%
Valtteri Bottas
1%
Sergio Perez
1%
Nico Hulkenberg
1%
Isack Hadjar
<1%
Liam Lawson
<1%
Franco Colapinto
<1%
If the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Sep 13, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments.
Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
市场开放时间： Aug 8, 2026, 7:30 AM ET
If the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Sep 13, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments.
Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Kimi Antonelli holds the top implied probability in the Italian Grand Prix driver winner market at 27% due to his commanding 2026 drivers' championship lead with Mercedes, multiple victories, and strong recent form entering his home race at Monza. The Italian teenager's pace and consistency have outpaced teammate George Russell, while Ferrari's Lewis Hamilton and the McLaren duo of Lando Norris and Oscar Piastri remain close in the standings with competitive machinery. Max Verstappen and Charles Leclerc factor into the mix amid a tightly contested midfield, but the wide-open probabilities reflect variable track characteristics at Monza, potential reliability factors, and the unpredictability of qualifying and race-day strategy in Formula 1.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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