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icon for 6月30日前,谷歌Gemini在FrontierMath Benchmark上的得分?

6月30日前,谷歌Gemini在FrontierMath Benchmark上的得分?

icon for 6月30日前,谷歌Gemini在FrontierMath Benchmark上的得分?

6月30日前,谷歌Gemini在FrontierMath Benchmark上的得分?

$136,324 交易量

2026-02-28
Polymarket

$136,324 交易量

Polymarket

40%+

$30,573 交易量

86%

45%+

$49,669 交易量

67%

50%+

$18,855 交易量

63%

60%+

$37,227 交易量

54%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Google Gemini model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered. The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Recent advancements in agentic systems built on Gemini 3.1 Pro have driven trader sentiment, with DeepMind’s AI Co-Mathematician workbench achieving 48% on FrontierMath Tier 4—more than doubling the base model’s 19% score and marking the highest recorded result. This reflects broader gains in multi-step mathematical reasoning through hybrid chain-of-thought techniques and multi-agent coordination. OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 Pro currently leads overall leaderboards near 52%, but Gemini’s competitive positioning on GPQA Diamond and ARC-AGI-2 underscores its strength in complex problem-solving. With June 30 approaching, any new model update, expanded context window, or refined agent framework could shift performance thresholds before resolution. Traders monitor Epoch AI updates closely, as rapid iteration in frontier model capabilities continues to compress historical gaps on this demanding benchmark.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Google Gemini model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.

The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$136,324
结束日期
2026-06-30
市场开放时间
Feb 6, 2026, 6:03 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Google Gemini model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered. The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Google Gemini model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered. The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Recent advancements in agentic systems built on Gemini 3.1 Pro have driven trader sentiment, with DeepMind’s AI Co-Mathematician workbench achieving 48% on FrontierMath Tier 4—more than doubling the base model’s 19% score and marking the highest recorded result. This reflects broader gains in multi-step mathematical reasoning through hybrid chain-of-thought techniques and multi-agent coordination. OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 Pro currently leads overall leaderboards near 52%, but Gemini’s competitive positioning on GPQA Diamond and ARC-AGI-2 underscores its strength in complex problem-solving. With June 30 approaching, any new model update, expanded context window, or refined agent framework could shift performance thresholds before resolution. Traders monitor Epoch AI updates closely, as rapid iteration in frontier model capabilities continues to compress historical gaps on this demanding benchmark.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Google Gemini model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.

The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$136,324
结束日期
2026-06-30
市场开放时间
Feb 6, 2026, 6:03 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Google Gemini model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered. The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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"6月30日前,谷歌Gemini在FrontierMath Benchmark上的得分?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 4 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"40%+",概率为 86%,其次是"45%+",概率为 67%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 86¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 86%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"6月30日前,谷歌Gemini在FrontierMath Benchmark上的得分?"已产生 $136.3K 的总交易量(自Feb 6, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

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"6月30日前,谷歌Gemini在FrontierMath Benchmark上的得分?"的当前领先者是"40%+",概率为 86%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 86%。紧随其后的结果是"45%+",概率为 67%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"6月30日前,谷歌Gemini在FrontierMath Benchmark上的得分?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。