The Super Mario Galaxy Movie holds a commanding 99.3% market-implied probability as April 2026's top domestic earner through May 31, driven by its blockbuster $412 million-plus haul to date—topping charts with three straight No. 1 weekends, stellar family animation legs from Illumination, and Nintendo franchise momentum echoing the prior film's billion-dollar success. Strong word-of-mouth, repeat viewings, and merchandising synergy have widened its gap over runner-up Michael ($245 million from a solid biopic opening) and underperformers like You, Me & Tuscany ($19 million rom-com flop) or limited releases Mother Mary, Wasteland Cop, The Whistler, and Lorne. Realistic upsets hinge on Mario's improbable sharp drop amid May competition or a late-April sleeper's explosive multipliers, though trader capital sees scant path forward with two weeks left.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月31日国内票房最高的4月电影?
5月31日国内票房最高的4月电影?
超级马里奥银河电影 99.3%
迈克尔 <1%
圣母玛利亚 <1%
荒原警探 <1%
$253,597 交易量
$253,597 交易量
超级马里奥银河电影
99%
迈克尔
1%
圣母玛利亚
<1%
荒原警探
<1%
你、我和托斯卡纳
<1%
捕风者
<1%
洛恩
<1%
超级马里奥银河电影 99.3%
迈克尔 <1%
圣母玛利亚 <1%
荒原警探 <1%
$253,597 交易量
$253,597 交易量
超级马里奥银河电影
99%
迈克尔
1%
圣母玛利亚
<1%
荒原警探
<1%
你、我和托斯卡纳
<1%
捕风者
<1%
洛恩
<1%
In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.
If there is no final data available by June 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
市场开放时间: Mar 25, 2026, 5:21 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.
If there is no final data available by June 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Super Mario Galaxy Movie holds a commanding 99.3% market-implied probability as April 2026's top domestic earner through May 31, driven by its blockbuster $412 million-plus haul to date—topping charts with three straight No. 1 weekends, stellar family animation legs from Illumination, and Nintendo franchise momentum echoing the prior film's billion-dollar success. Strong word-of-mouth, repeat viewings, and merchandising synergy have widened its gap over runner-up Michael ($245 million from a solid biopic opening) and underperformers like You, Me & Tuscany ($19 million rom-com flop) or limited releases Mother Mary, Wasteland Cop, The Whistler, and Lorne. Realistic upsets hinge on Mario's improbable sharp drop amid May competition or a late-April sleeper's explosive multipliers, though trader capital sees scant path forward with two weeks left.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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