Current ensemble forecasts from centers including ECMWF and KNMI show a probable daily maximum of 25–27 °C in Amsterdam on July 10 amid building high pressure and light southerly flow that favors modest warming above seasonal norms of 21–22 °C. Trader-implied odds cluster tightly around these outcomes because short-range models diverge mainly on afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and the precise strength of the urban heat-island effect, with limited precipitation expected to suppress extremes. Updated model runs and KNMI guidance issued in the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact peak and shift probabilities accordingly before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Amsterdam on July 10?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on July 10?
27°C 39%
26°C 31%
28°C 18.8%
25°C 12.4%
最新
$28,207 交易量
最新
$28,207 交易量
2026-07-10
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
3%
25°C
12%
26°C
31%
27°C
39%
28°C
19%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 39%
26°C 31%
28°C 18.8%
25°C 12.4%
最新
$28,207 交易量
最新
$28,207 交易量
2026-07-10
22°C or below
$635 交易量
<1%
23°C
$1,303 交易量
<1%
24°C
$3,466 交易量
3%
25°C
$2,137 交易量
12%
26°C
$4,303 交易量
31%
27°C
$8,483 交易量
39%
28°C
$3,368 交易量
19%
29°C
$1,482 交易量
1%
30°C
$1,292 交易量
<1%
31°C
$700 交易量
<1%
32°C or higher
$1,039 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from centers including ECMWF and KNMI show a probable daily maximum of 25–27 °C in Amsterdam on July 10 amid building high pressure and light southerly flow that favors modest warming above seasonal norms of 21–22 °C. Trader-implied odds cluster tightly around these outcomes because short-range models diverge mainly on afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and the precise strength of the urban heat-island effect, with limited precipitation expected to suppress extremes. Updated model runs and KNMI guidance issued in the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact peak and shift probabilities accordingly before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 8, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
交易量
$28,207结束日期
2026-07-10市场开放时间
Jul 8, 2026, 1:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from centers including ECMWF and KNMI show a probable daily maximum of 25–27 °C in Amsterdam on July 10 amid building high pressure and light southerly flow that favors modest warming above seasonal norms of 21–22 °C. Trader-implied odds cluster tightly around these outcomes because short-range models diverge mainly on afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and the precise strength of the urban heat-island effect, with limited precipitation expected to suppress extremes. Updated model runs and KNMI guidance issued in the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact peak and shift probabilities accordingly before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$28,207结束日期
2026-07-10市场开放时间
Jul 8, 2026, 1:03 AM ETCurrent ensemble forecasts from centers including ECMWF and KNMI show a probable daily maximum of 25–27 °C in Amsterdam on July 10 amid building high pressure and light southerly flow that favors modest warming above seasonal norms of 21–22 °C. Trader-implied odds cluster tightly around these outcomes because short-range models diverge mainly on afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and the precise strength of the urban heat-island effect, with limited precipitation expected to suppress extremes. Updated model runs and KNMI guidance issued in the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact peak and shift probabilities accordingly before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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