Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble runs for Ankara center daily maximum temperatures near 31–33°C on July 13, with tight spread reflecting stable high-pressure influence over the Anatolian plateau and minimal cloud cover or precipitation expected. This consensus drives the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 31°C, 32°C, and 33°C, as traders weigh model agreement against typical July climatology of 29–32°C highs and local factors such as diurnal heating rates and boundary-layer mixing. Minor divergences in wind direction or timing of any subtle trough could shift the peak by 1–2°C, while official Turkish Meteorological Service observations will resolve the exact value. Updated model cycles over the next 24–48 hours remain the key near-term catalyst for any probability shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月13日安卡拉的最高温度？
7月13日安卡拉的最高温度？
32°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$50,225 交易量
$50,225 交易量
2026-07-13
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$50,225 交易量
$50,225 交易量
2026-07-13
28°C or below
$1,967 交易量
No
29°C
$436 交易量
No
30°C
$2,221 交易量
No
31°C
$14,440 交易量
No
32°C
$11,912 交易量
Yes
33°C
$7,923 交易量
No
34°C
$9,321 交易量
No
35°C
$867 交易量
No
36°C
$274 交易量
No
37°C
$461 交易量
No
38°C or higher
$401 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble runs for Ankara center daily maximum temperatures near 31–33°C on July 13, with tight spread reflecting stable high-pressure influence over the Anatolian plateau and minimal cloud cover or precipitation expected. This consensus drives the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 31°C, 32°C, and 33°C, as traders weigh model agreement against typical July climatology of 29–32°C highs and local factors such as diurnal heating rates and boundary-layer mixing. Minor divergences in wind direction or timing of any subtle trough could shift the peak by 1–2°C, while official Turkish Meteorological Service observations will resolve the exact value. Updated model cycles over the next 24–48 hours remain the key near-term catalyst for any probability shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 11, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$50,225结束日期
2026-07-13市场开放时间
Jul 11, 2026, 12:02 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble runs for Ankara center daily maximum temperatures near 31–33°C on July 13, with tight spread reflecting stable high-pressure influence over the Anatolian plateau and minimal cloud cover or precipitation expected. This consensus drives the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 31°C, 32°C, and 33°C, as traders weigh model agreement against typical July climatology of 29–32°C highs and local factors such as diurnal heating rates and boundary-layer mixing. Minor divergences in wind direction or timing of any subtle trough could shift the peak by 1–2°C, while official Turkish Meteorological Service observations will resolve the exact value. Updated model cycles over the next 24–48 hours remain the key near-term catalyst for any probability shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$50,225结束日期
2026-07-13市场开放时间
Jul 11, 2026, 12:02 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble runs for Ankara center daily maximum temperatures near 31–33°C on July 13, with tight spread reflecting stable high-pressure influence over the Anatolian plateau and minimal cloud cover or precipitation expected. This consensus drives the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 31°C, 32°C, and 33°C, as traders weigh model agreement against typical July climatology of 29–32°C highs and local factors such as diurnal heating rates and boundary-layer mixing. Minor divergences in wind direction or timing of any subtle trough could shift the peak by 1–2°C, while official Turkish Meteorological Service observations will resolve the exact value. Updated model cycles over the next 24–48 hours remain the key near-term catalyst for any probability shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题