National Weather Service and local models currently project a high near 96–98°F for Austin on July 10 under continued influence of an upper-level ridge and southerly flow, keeping conditions mostly sunny with only isolated afternoon cloud cover possible. This places the market’s tight contest between the 94–95°F and 96–97°F bins in line with the latest deterministic and ensemble guidance, which shows limited spread around the seasonal July average of 96–97°F. Minor differences hinge on exact timing of any moisture return or boundary-layer mixing; updated NWS point forecasts and morning model runs on July 10 will provide the final verification data for resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Austin on July 10?
92-93°F 38%
94-95°F 32%
90-91°F 16.6%
96-97°F 11%
$10,644 交易量
$10,644 交易量
89°F or below
1%
90-91°F
17%
92-93°F
38%
94-95°F
32%
96-97°F
11%
98-99°F
2%
100-101°F
1%
102-103°F
<1%
104-105°F
<1%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F or higher
<1%
92-93°F 38%
94-95°F 32%
90-91°F 16.6%
96-97°F 11%
$10,644 交易量
$10,644 交易量
89°F or below
1%
90-91°F
17%
92-93°F
38%
94-95°F
32%
96-97°F
11%
98-99°F
2%
100-101°F
1%
102-103°F
<1%
104-105°F
<1%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jul 8, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
National Weather Service and local models currently project a high near 96–98°F for Austin on July 10 under continued influence of an upper-level ridge and southerly flow, keeping conditions mostly sunny with only isolated afternoon cloud cover possible. This places the market’s tight contest between the 94–95°F and 96–97°F bins in line with the latest deterministic and ensemble guidance, which shows limited spread around the seasonal July average of 96–97°F. Minor differences hinge on exact timing of any moisture return or boundary-layer mixing; updated NWS point forecasts and morning model runs on July 10 will provide the final verification data for resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题