Recent forecast models from agencies like the National Meteorological Service of Argentina show a mild winter day ahead for Buenos Aires on July 26, with ensemble guidance favoring a daily maximum near 18–20°C amid light northerly flow and limited cloud cover that reduces nocturnal cooling. This aligns with the market-implied odds clustering around 19–21°C while reflecting genuine uncertainty in short-range model runs, where small shifts in frontal positioning or wind direction could tip the high by 1–2°C. Historical July maxima average near 15°C, so current conditions represent above-normal warmth driven by transient subtropical air advection rather than persistent climate signals. Updated model outputs and official observations tomorrow morning will refine resolution criteria for the highest temperature recorded at official stations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月26日布宜诺斯艾利斯的最高温度?
20°C 36%
19°C 26%
21°C 23%
18°C 14%
14°C or below
2%
15°C
2%
16°C
2%
17°C
10%
18°C
14%
19°C
26%
20°C
28%
21°C
23%
22°C
5%
23°C
6%
24°C or higher
2%
20°C 36%
19°C 26%
21°C 23%
18°C 14%
14°C or below
2%
15°C
2%
16°C
2%
17°C
10%
18°C
14%
19°C
26%
20°C
28%
21°C
23%
22°C
5%
23°C
6%
24°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jul 24, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast models from agencies like the National Meteorological Service of Argentina show a mild winter day ahead for Buenos Aires on July 26, with ensemble guidance favoring a daily maximum near 18–20°C amid light northerly flow and limited cloud cover that reduces nocturnal cooling. This aligns with the market-implied odds clustering around 19–21°C while reflecting genuine uncertainty in short-range model runs, where small shifts in frontal positioning or wind direction could tip the high by 1–2°C. Historical July maxima average near 15°C, so current conditions represent above-normal warmth driven by transient subtropical air advection rather than persistent climate signals. Updated model outputs and official observations tomorrow morning will refine resolution criteria for the highest temperature recorded at official stations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于



警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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