Forecast models for Mexico City on July 26 point to a daytime maximum near the long-term July average of 24–25°C, with trader probabilities clustered tightly between 24°C and 26°C. High elevation near 2,240 meters and persistent cloud cover from the ongoing rainy season moderate temperatures, while afternoon showers or thunderstorms—common this time of year—can further cap peaks through reduced solar heating and evaporative cooling. Minor shifts in model guidance on timing of convection, humidity levels, or boundary-layer winds account for the narrow spread across outcomes, as even brief clearing could push readings 1–2°C higher. Official updates from Mexican meteorological services will refine these projections before the daily maximum is recorded.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于墨西哥城7月26日的最高温度?
25°C 35%
24°C 25%
26°C 22%
23°C 14%
20°C或以下
2%
21°C
2%
22°C
5%
23°C
14%
24°C
25%
25°C
35%
26°C
22%
27°C
9%
28°C
3%
29°C
1%
30°C或更高
2%
25°C 35%
24°C 25%
26°C 22%
23°C 14%
20°C或以下
2%
21°C
2%
22°C
5%
23°C
14%
24°C
25%
25°C
35%
26°C
22%
27°C
9%
28°C
3%
29°C
1%
30°C或更高
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jul 24, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models for Mexico City on July 26 point to a daytime maximum near the long-term July average of 24–25°C, with trader probabilities clustered tightly between 24°C and 26°C. High elevation near 2,240 meters and persistent cloud cover from the ongoing rainy season moderate temperatures, while afternoon showers or thunderstorms—common this time of year—can further cap peaks through reduced solar heating and evaporative cooling. Minor shifts in model guidance on timing of convection, humidity levels, or boundary-layer winds account for the narrow spread across outcomes, as even brief clearing could push readings 1–2°C higher. Official updates from Mexican meteorological services will refine these projections before the daily maximum is recorded.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于



警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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