Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private ensembles show substantial uncertainty in the overnight minimum for New York City on July 26, with projected lows clustered between 64°F and 71°F depending on cloud cover, dew points, and boundary-layer mixing. This tight range has produced nearly even market-implied odds across the 64–69°F bins as traders weigh the latest guidance showing modest radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies versus slightly warmer advection from the southwest. Historical July climatology places average lows near 68–70°F, so current consensus sits close to seasonal norms while awaiting updated model runs that could shift probabilities if dew points or wind speeds change overnight.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月26日纽约市的最低温度？
7月26日纽约市的最低温度？
60-61°F 57%
64-65°F 36%
66-67°F 36%
68-69°F 36%
最新
最新
2026-07-26
57°F或以下
22%
58-59°F
16%
60-61°F
57%
62-63°F
33%
64-65°F
36%
66-67°F
36%
68-69°F
36%
70-71°F
33%
72-73°F
33%
74-75°F
1%
76°F或更高
1%
60-61°F 57%
64-65°F 36%
66-67°F 36%
68-69°F 36%
最新
最新
2026-07-26
57°F或以下
$22 交易量
22%
58-59°F
$27 交易量
16%
60-61°F
$27 交易量
57%
62-63°F
$5 交易量
33%
64-65°F
$0 交易量
36%
66-67°F
$0 交易量
36%
68-69°F
$0 交易量
36%
70-71°F
$0 交易量
33%
72-73°F
$0 交易量
33%
74-75°F
$22 交易量
1%
76°F或更高
$22 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private ensembles show substantial uncertainty in the overnight minimum for New York City on July 26, with projected lows clustered between 64°F and 71°F depending on cloud cover, dew points, and boundary-layer mixing. This tight range has produced nearly even market-implied odds across the 64–69°F bins as traders weigh the latest guidance showing modest radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies versus slightly warmer advection from the southwest. Historical July climatology places average lows near 68–70°F, so current consensus sits close to seasonal norms while awaiting updated model runs that could shift probabilities if dew points or wind speeds change overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 24, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
交易量
$124结束日期
2026-07-26市场开放时间
Jul 24, 2026, 9:30 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private ensembles show substantial uncertainty in the overnight minimum for New York City on July 26, with projected lows clustered between 64°F and 71°F depending on cloud cover, dew points, and boundary-layer mixing. This tight range has produced nearly even market-implied odds across the 64–69°F bins as traders weigh the latest guidance showing modest radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies versus slightly warmer advection from the southwest. Historical July climatology places average lows near 68–70°F, so current consensus sits close to seasonal norms while awaiting updated model runs that could shift probabilities if dew points or wind speeds change overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$124结束日期
2026-07-26市场开放时间
Jul 24, 2026, 9:30 PM ETForecast models from the National Weather Service and private ensembles show substantial uncertainty in the overnight minimum for New York City on July 26, with projected lows clustered between 64°F and 71°F depending on cloud cover, dew points, and boundary-layer mixing. This tight range has produced nearly even market-implied odds across the 64–69°F bins as traders weigh the latest guidance showing modest radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies versus slightly warmer advection from the southwest. Historical July climatology places average lows near 68–70°F, so current consensus sits close to seasonal norms while awaiting updated model runs that could shift probabilities if dew points or wind speeds change overnight.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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