Recent forecasts from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and global models indicate a likely daily maximum of 17–18°C in Buenos Aires on July 8, 2026, slightly above the July climatological average of 14–15°C. This positioning reflects mild northerly flow and partial clearing ahead of a modest cold front, allowing daytime warming despite winter conditions in the Southern Hemisphere. The near-even split between the 18°C (31%) and 17°C (28.5%) outcomes stems from uncertainty in exact cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, and the strength of any late-day wind shift—variables that routinely produce 1–2°C spreads in short-range ensembles. Updated model runs overnight will likely sharpen resolution thresholds before market close.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on July 8?
18°C 40%
17°C 29%
19°C 16%
16°C 8%
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
8%
17°C
29%
18°C
40%
19°C
16%
20°C
2%
21°C or higher
<1%
18°C 40%
17°C 29%
19°C 16%
16°C 8%
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
8%
17°C
29%
18°C
40%
19°C
16%
20°C
2%
21°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jul 6, 2026, 10:01 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and global models indicate a likely daily maximum of 17–18°C in Buenos Aires on July 8, 2026, slightly above the July climatological average of 14–15°C. This positioning reflects mild northerly flow and partial clearing ahead of a modest cold front, allowing daytime warming despite winter conditions in the Southern Hemisphere. The near-even split between the 18°C (31%) and 17°C (28.5%) outcomes stems from uncertainty in exact cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, and the strength of any late-day wind shift—variables that routinely produce 1–2°C spreads in short-range ensembles. Updated model runs overnight will likely sharpen resolution thresholds before market close.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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