Short-term forecast models from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration show high uncertainty for Busan's July 14 maximum temperature, with ensemble spreads placing the most likely outcomes near 30–31°C amid typical mid-July monsoon conditions. Key differentiators include variable East Sea sea surface temperatures affecting marine air advection, afternoon convective cloud cover that can suppress peaks by 1–2°C, and steering patterns from the North Pacific high that may allow clearer skies for brief warming. Historical July averages around 29–30°C provide context, yet rapid shifts in humidity or localized sea breezes keep probabilities closely split between adjacent thresholds. Traders weigh the latest model consensus against these atmospheric variables ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月14日釜山气温最高？
7月14日釜山气温最高？
31°C 51%
30°C 32%
32°C 12%
29°C 4.5%
最新
最新
2026-07-14
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
5%
30°C
32%
31°C
51%
32°C
12%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 51%
30°C 32%
32°C 12%
29°C 4.5%
最新
最新
2026-07-14
26°C or below
$233 交易量
<1%
27°C
$1,300 交易量
<1%
28°C
$2,025 交易量
<1%
29°C
$576 交易量
5%
30°C
$610 交易量
32%
31°C
$677 交易量
51%
32°C
$1,659 交易量
12%
33°C
$1,214 交易量
<1%
34°C
$502 交易量
1%
35°C
$276 交易量
<1%
36°C or higher
$432 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term forecast models from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration show high uncertainty for Busan's July 14 maximum temperature, with ensemble spreads placing the most likely outcomes near 30–31°C amid typical mid-July monsoon conditions. Key differentiators include variable East Sea sea surface temperatures affecting marine air advection, afternoon convective cloud cover that can suppress peaks by 1–2°C, and steering patterns from the North Pacific high that may allow clearer skies for brief warming. Historical July averages around 29–30°C provide context, yet rapid shifts in humidity or localized sea breezes keep probabilities closely split between adjacent thresholds. Traders weigh the latest model consensus against these atmospheric variables ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 12, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
交易量
$9,506结束日期
2026-07-14市场开放时间
Jul 12, 2026, 1:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term forecast models from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration show high uncertainty for Busan's July 14 maximum temperature, with ensemble spreads placing the most likely outcomes near 30–31°C amid typical mid-July monsoon conditions. Key differentiators include variable East Sea sea surface temperatures affecting marine air advection, afternoon convective cloud cover that can suppress peaks by 1–2°C, and steering patterns from the North Pacific high that may allow clearer skies for brief warming. Historical July averages around 29–30°C provide context, yet rapid shifts in humidity or localized sea breezes keep probabilities closely split between adjacent thresholds. Traders weigh the latest model consensus against these atmospheric variables ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$9,506结束日期
2026-07-14市场开放时间
Jul 12, 2026, 1:04 AM ETShort-term forecast models from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration show high uncertainty for Busan's July 14 maximum temperature, with ensemble spreads placing the most likely outcomes near 30–31°C amid typical mid-July monsoon conditions. Key differentiators include variable East Sea sea surface temperatures affecting marine air advection, afternoon convective cloud cover that can suppress peaks by 1–2°C, and steering patterns from the North Pacific high that may allow clearer skies for brief warming. Historical July averages around 29–30°C provide context, yet rapid shifts in humidity or localized sea breezes keep probabilities closely split between adjacent thresholds. Traders weigh the latest model consensus against these atmospheric variables ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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