**Trader sentiment for Cape Town’s highest temperature on June 30, 2026, centers on 15–16°C as the most probable outcomes, reflecting short-range forecast consensus amid a cooler-than-average winter pattern.** Cape Town’s Mediterranean winter climate typically delivers June daily maxima near 17°C, but recent cold fronts and a possible cut-off low have suppressed temperatures. Mid-to-late June saw multiple frontal passages delivering strong westerlies, scattered showers, and highs limited to 14–16°C, with one extended forecast explicitly projecting 14°C for June 30. These conditions align with the market’s heaviest weighting on 15°C (35.5%) and 16°C (21.0%), while lower outcomes (13–14°C) receive modest support from lingering cool air and higher readings remain low-probability given the stable post-frontal ridge. Upcoming official updates from the South African Weather Service and refined model runs over the next 48 hours will refine the exact maximum, with any late warming or clearing skies able to push readings toward 16–17°C. The implied probabilities thus capture both climatological winter baselines and the current synoptic setup favoring near-average or slightly below-average maxima.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月30日开普敦气温最高?
15°C 35%
16°C 26%
14°C 16%
13°C 10%
9°C或以下
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
2%
13°C
10%
14°C
16%
15°C
35%
16°C
26%
17°C
10%
18°C
3%
19°C或更高
2%
15°C 35%
16°C 26%
14°C 16%
13°C 10%
9°C或以下
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
2%
13°C
10%
14°C
16%
15°C
35%
16°C
26%
17°C
10%
18°C
3%
19°C或更高
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 28, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Trader sentiment for Cape Town’s highest temperature on June 30, 2026, centers on 15–16°C as the most probable outcomes, reflecting short-range forecast consensus amid a cooler-than-average winter pattern.** Cape Town’s Mediterranean winter climate typically delivers June daily maxima near 17°C, but recent cold fronts and a possible cut-off low have suppressed temperatures. Mid-to-late June saw multiple frontal passages delivering strong westerlies, scattered showers, and highs limited to 14–16°C, with one extended forecast explicitly projecting 14°C for June 30. These conditions align with the market’s heaviest weighting on 15°C (35.5%) and 16°C (21.0%), while lower outcomes (13–14°C) receive modest support from lingering cool air and higher readings remain low-probability given the stable post-frontal ridge. Upcoming official updates from the South African Weather Service and refined model runs over the next 48 hours will refine the exact maximum, with any late warming or clearing skies able to push readings toward 16–17°C. The implied probabilities thus capture both climatological winter baselines and the current synoptic setup favoring near-average or slightly below-average maxima.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题