Current numerical weather prediction models from sources like the China Meteorological Administration indicate peak temperatures in Chengdu on July 10 likely falling in the 36–38°C range, aligning with the tightly clustered market-implied odds around those thresholds. Persistent summer high pressure over the Sichuan basin, combined with high humidity and limited cloud cover in recent days, supports daytime maxima near or above seasonal averages of 30–32°C, while scattered thunderstorms could cap extremes through evaporative cooling. Model consensus shows modest spread due to variable steering flows and moisture advection, with historical July analogs rarely exceeding 39°C without strong subsidence. Updated short-range forecasts and official observations on July 10 will provide the final resolution data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Chengdu on July 10?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on July 10?
37°C 30%
38°C 30%
36°C 16%
39°C 12%
最新
$21,801 交易量
最新
$21,801 交易量
2026-07-10
32°C or below
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
2%
35°C
6%
36°C
16%
37°C
30%
38°C
30%
39°C
12%
40°C
4%
41°C
<1%
42°C or higher
<1%
37°C 30%
38°C 30%
36°C 16%
39°C 12%
最新
$21,801 交易量
最新
$21,801 交易量
2026-07-10
32°C or below
$2,988 交易量
<1%
33°C
$1,329 交易量
<1%
34°C
$1,767 交易量
2%
35°C
$1,348 交易量
6%
36°C
$2,681 交易量
16%
37°C
$1,348 交易量
30%
38°C
$3,415 交易量
30%
39°C
$1,885 交易量
12%
40°C
$1,133 交易量
4%
41°C
$977 交易量
<1%
42°C or higher
$3,029 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models from sources like the China Meteorological Administration indicate peak temperatures in Chengdu on July 10 likely falling in the 36–38°C range, aligning with the tightly clustered market-implied odds around those thresholds. Persistent summer high pressure over the Sichuan basin, combined with high humidity and limited cloud cover in recent days, supports daytime maxima near or above seasonal averages of 30–32°C, while scattered thunderstorms could cap extremes through evaporative cooling. Model consensus shows modest spread due to variable steering flows and moisture advection, with historical July analogs rarely exceeding 39°C without strong subsidence. Updated short-range forecasts and official observations on July 10 will provide the final resolution data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$21,801结束日期
2026-07-10市场开放时间
Jul 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models from sources like the China Meteorological Administration indicate peak temperatures in Chengdu on July 10 likely falling in the 36–38°C range, aligning with the tightly clustered market-implied odds around those thresholds. Persistent summer high pressure over the Sichuan basin, combined with high humidity and limited cloud cover in recent days, supports daytime maxima near or above seasonal averages of 30–32°C, while scattered thunderstorms could cap extremes through evaporative cooling. Model consensus shows modest spread due to variable steering flows and moisture advection, with historical July analogs rarely exceeding 39°C without strong subsidence. Updated short-range forecasts and official observations on July 10 will provide the final resolution data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$21,801结束日期
2026-07-10市场开放时间
Jul 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ETCurrent numerical weather prediction models from sources like the China Meteorological Administration indicate peak temperatures in Chengdu on July 10 likely falling in the 36–38°C range, aligning with the tightly clustered market-implied odds around those thresholds. Persistent summer high pressure over the Sichuan basin, combined with high humidity and limited cloud cover in recent days, supports daytime maxima near or above seasonal averages of 30–32°C, while scattered thunderstorms could cap extremes through evaporative cooling. Model consensus shows modest spread due to variable steering flows and moisture advection, with historical July analogs rarely exceeding 39°C without strong subsidence. Updated short-range forecasts and official observations on July 10 will provide the final resolution data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题