Latest numerical weather prediction models from regional centers show a broad consensus for daytime maxima in the upper 30s Celsius on July 10, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure and limited cloud cover over the Sichuan Basin, though scattered monsoon moisture could cap peaks near 37–38 °C. Historical July climatology places average highs near 33 °C, with occasional excursions above 38 °C when subsidence strengthens; current ensemble spreads reflect modest uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and local urban heat-island effects. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 38 °C because recent model runs cluster there, while lower odds for 40 °C+ reflect the narrow window for additional warming before any frontal passage. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and next 12–24 h model cycles remain the key near-term catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Chongqing on July 10?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on July 10?
39°C 35%
38°C 26%
40°C 19%
37°C 12%
最新
$37,526 交易量
最新
$37,526 交易量
2026-07-10
32°C or below
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
1%
36°C
4%
37°C
12%
38°C
26%
39°C
35%
40°C
19%
41°C
3%
42°C or higher
1%
39°C 35%
38°C 26%
40°C 19%
37°C 12%
最新
$37,526 交易量
最新
$37,526 交易量
2026-07-10
32°C or below
$6,283 交易量
<1%
33°C
$3,388 交易量
<1%
34°C
$861 交易量
<1%
35°C
$1,448 交易量
1%
36°C
$1,805 交易量
4%
37°C
$1,666 交易量
12%
38°C
$11,585 交易量
26%
39°C
$3,652 交易量
35%
40°C
$2,899 交易量
19%
41°C
$2,038 交易量
3%
42°C or higher
$1,899 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from regional centers show a broad consensus for daytime maxima in the upper 30s Celsius on July 10, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure and limited cloud cover over the Sichuan Basin, though scattered monsoon moisture could cap peaks near 37–38 °C. Historical July climatology places average highs near 33 °C, with occasional excursions above 38 °C when subsidence strengthens; current ensemble spreads reflect modest uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and local urban heat-island effects. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 38 °C because recent model runs cluster there, while lower odds for 40 °C+ reflect the narrow window for additional warming before any frontal passage. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and next 12–24 h model cycles remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$37,526结束日期
2026-07-10市场开放时间
Jul 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from regional centers show a broad consensus for daytime maxima in the upper 30s Celsius on July 10, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure and limited cloud cover over the Sichuan Basin, though scattered monsoon moisture could cap peaks near 37–38 °C. Historical July climatology places average highs near 33 °C, with occasional excursions above 38 °C when subsidence strengthens; current ensemble spreads reflect modest uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and local urban heat-island effects. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 38 °C because recent model runs cluster there, while lower odds for 40 °C+ reflect the narrow window for additional warming before any frontal passage. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and next 12–24 h model cycles remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$37,526结束日期
2026-07-10市场开放时间
Jul 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ETLatest numerical weather prediction models from regional centers show a broad consensus for daytime maxima in the upper 30s Celsius on July 10, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure and limited cloud cover over the Sichuan Basin, though scattered monsoon moisture could cap peaks near 37–38 °C. Historical July climatology places average highs near 33 °C, with occasional excursions above 38 °C when subsidence strengthens; current ensemble spreads reflect modest uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and local urban heat-island effects. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 38 °C because recent model runs cluster there, while lower odds for 40 °C+ reflect the narrow window for additional warming before any frontal passage. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and next 12–24 h model cycles remain the key near-term catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题