Forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration currently point to peak highs near 40°C in Chongqing on July 14, driven by subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and strong solar insolation amid the region's typical summer monsoon lull. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 39–41°C because minor variations in predicted wind shear, boundary-layer moisture, and urban heat-island amplification can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical July climatology shows average highs of 33–35°C, yet recent multi-day heat anomalies have elevated baseline temperatures, increasing the probability of exceeding 40°C while keeping extremes above 43°C unlikely without an unexpected ridge strengthening. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine these narrow thresholds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月14日重庆气温最高?
42°C 42%
41°C 27%
40℃ 16%
39℃ 9%
$21,811 交易量
$21,811 交易量
36°C及以下
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
1%
39℃
9%
40℃
16%
41°C
33%
42°C
42%
43°C
3%
44°C
1%
45°C
<1%
46°C或更高
<1%
42°C 42%
41°C 27%
40℃ 16%
39℃ 9%
$21,811 交易量
$21,811 交易量
36°C及以下
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
1%
39℃
9%
40℃
16%
41°C
33%
42°C
42%
43°C
3%
44°C
1%
45°C
<1%
46°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jul 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration currently point to peak highs near 40°C in Chongqing on July 14, driven by subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and strong solar insolation amid the region's typical summer monsoon lull. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 39–41°C because minor variations in predicted wind shear, boundary-layer moisture, and urban heat-island amplification can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical July climatology shows average highs of 33–35°C, yet recent multi-day heat anomalies have elevated baseline temperatures, increasing the probability of exceeding 40°C while keeping extremes above 43°C unlikely without an unexpected ridge strengthening. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine these narrow thresholds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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