Recent NOAA and National Weather Service guidance points to expanding heat across central Texas, with Dallas forecast highs near the long-term July average of 96–99°F amid southerly flow and limited cloud cover. This supports the close market-implied odds between the 98–99°F and 100–101°F bins, as ensemble models show modest day-to-day variability from subtle steering patterns and afternoon convection potential. Official outlooks emphasize that small shifts in moisture or timing of any seabreeze influence could easily push the daily maximum across the 100°F threshold or hold it lower, underscoring forecast uncertainty even 24 hours out.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Dallas on July 10?
98-99°F 41%
100-101°F 32%
96-97°F 18%
102-103°F 8%
93°F or below
1%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
18%
98-99°F
41%
100-101°F
32%
102-103°F
8%
104-105°F
3%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110-111°F
<1%
112°F or higher
<1%
98-99°F 41%
100-101°F 32%
96-97°F 18%
102-103°F 8%
93°F or below
1%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
18%
98-99°F
41%
100-101°F
32%
102-103°F
8%
104-105°F
3%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110-111°F
<1%
112°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jul 8, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent NOAA and National Weather Service guidance points to expanding heat across central Texas, with Dallas forecast highs near the long-term July average of 96–99°F amid southerly flow and limited cloud cover. This supports the close market-implied odds between the 98–99°F and 100–101°F bins, as ensemble models show modest day-to-day variability from subtle steering patterns and afternoon convection potential. Official outlooks emphasize that small shifts in moisture or timing of any seabreeze influence could easily push the daily maximum across the 100°F threshold or hold it lower, underscoring forecast uncertainty even 24 hours out.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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