Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate Helsinki highs of 22–25°C on July 14, aligning with the market’s heaviest concentration of probability around 24–26°C. Mild Baltic Sea surface temperatures and variable northerly flow have kept recent conditions near or slightly below the long-term July average of 21–22°C, with traders pricing in modest warming from transient southerly advection or reduced cloud cover. Key variables include steering patterns from high-pressure ridges over Scandinavia, afternoon mixing, and any late adjustments in ECMWF or local Finnish Meteorological Institute runs expected before resolution. Historical data show July maxima rarely exceed 26°C without strong anticyclonic setup, supporting the thin tails above 27°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于赫尔辛基7月14日最高气温?
24°C 49%
23°C 24.6%
25°C 21%
26°C 2.2%
$17,824 交易量
$17,824 交易量
20°C或以下
<1%
21°C
2%
22°C
2%
23°C
25%
24°C
49%
25°C
21%
26°C
2%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C或更高
<1%
24°C 49%
23°C 24.6%
25°C 21%
26°C 2.2%
$17,824 交易量
$17,824 交易量
20°C或以下
<1%
21°C
2%
22°C
2%
23°C
25%
24°C
49%
25°C
21%
26°C
2%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jul 12, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate Helsinki highs of 22–25°C on July 14, aligning with the market’s heaviest concentration of probability around 24–26°C. Mild Baltic Sea surface temperatures and variable northerly flow have kept recent conditions near or slightly below the long-term July average of 21–22°C, with traders pricing in modest warming from transient southerly advection or reduced cloud cover. Key variables include steering patterns from high-pressure ridges over Scandinavia, afternoon mixing, and any late adjustments in ECMWF or local Finnish Meteorological Institute runs expected before resolution. Historical data show July maxima rarely exceed 26°C without strong anticyclonic setup, supporting the thin tails above 27°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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