Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements recorded a maximum air temperature of 34°C on August 12, 2026, under sunny periods with light southerly winds and high humidity, aligning precisely with the market's 100% consensus on that outcome. This result fits August climatology for the region, where urban heat-island effects and typical subtropical high-pressure patterns commonly produce afternoon peaks near 31–34°C. Traders weighted real-time station data and short-range model guidance heavily, leaving negligible implied probability for deviations. A realistic challenge would require a post-event quality-control revision by the Observatory or a shift in the official reference station, both rare once preliminary values are released.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月12日香港气温最高？
8月12日香港气温最高？
34°C 100.0%
28°C或以下 <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$213,066 交易量
$213,066 交易量
2026-08-12
28°C或以下
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C
否
34°C
是
35°C
否
36°C
否
37°C
否
38°C或更高
否
34°C 100.0%
28°C或以下 <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$213,066 交易量
$213,066 交易量
2026-08-12
28°C或以下
$1,194 交易量
否
29°C
$1,260 交易量
否
30°C
$6,308 交易量
否
31°C
$5,410 交易量
否
32°C
$29,338 交易量
否
33°C
$36,747 交易量
否
34°C
$48,984 交易量
是
35°C
$35,252 交易量
否
36°C
$34,672 交易量
否
37°C
$11,457 交易量
否
38°C或更高
$2,444 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements recorded a maximum air temperature of 34°C on August 12, 2026, under sunny periods with light southerly winds and high humidity, aligning precisely with the market's 100% consensus on that outcome. This result fits August climatology for the region, where urban heat-island effects and typical subtropical high-pressure patterns commonly produce afternoon peaks near 31–34°C. Traders weighted real-time station data and short-range model guidance heavily, leaving negligible implied probability for deviations. A realistic challenge would require a post-event quality-control revision by the Observatory or a shift in the official reference station, both rare once preliminary values are released.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$213,066结束日期
2026-08-12市场开放时间
Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ET已提议结果: 是
无争议
最终结果: 是
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements recorded a maximum air temperature of 34°C on August 12, 2026, under sunny periods with light southerly winds and high humidity, aligning precisely with the market's 100% consensus on that outcome. This result fits August climatology for the region, where urban heat-island effects and typical subtropical high-pressure patterns commonly produce afternoon peaks near 31–34°C. Traders weighted real-time station data and short-range model guidance heavily, leaving negligible implied probability for deviations. A realistic challenge would require a post-event quality-control revision by the Observatory or a shift in the official reference station, both rare once preliminary values are released.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$213,066结束日期
2026-08-12市场开放时间
Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ET已提议结果: 是
无争议
最终结果: 是
Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements recorded a maximum air temperature of 34°C on August 12, 2026, under sunny periods with light southerly winds and high humidity, aligning precisely with the market's 100% consensus on that outcome. This result fits August climatology for the region, where urban heat-island effects and typical subtropical high-pressure patterns commonly produce afternoon peaks near 31–34°C. Traders weighted real-time station data and short-range model guidance heavily, leaving negligible implied probability for deviations. A realistic challenge would require a post-event quality-control revision by the Observatory or a shift in the official reference station, both rare once preliminary values are released.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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