Current National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance points to a July 8 high near the 1991-2020 normal of 94°F for Houston, driven by a building heat dome and southerly flow under mostly sunny skies with only modest afternoon convection expected. Trader emphasis on the 94-95°F bin reflects this baseline, while the broad distribution across 92-97°F captures uncertainty from variable cloud cover, thunderstorm timing, and steering patterns that can either suppress or allow brief spikes above normal. Recent model runs show limited spread, consistent with historical July variability where daily maxima rarely stray far from the 93°F seasonal average absent major frontal passages.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Houston on July 8?
94-95°F 40%
96-97°F 34%
92-93°F 13%
98-99°F 8.7%
85°F or below
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
13%
94-95°F
40%
96-97°F
34%
98-99°F
9%
100-101°F
1%
102-103°F
<1%
104°F or higher
<1%
94-95°F 40%
96-97°F 34%
92-93°F 13%
98-99°F 8.7%
85°F or below
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
13%
94-95°F
40%
96-97°F
34%
98-99°F
9%
100-101°F
1%
102-103°F
<1%
104°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jul 6, 2026, 10:02 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance points to a July 8 high near the 1991-2020 normal of 94°F for Houston, driven by a building heat dome and southerly flow under mostly sunny skies with only modest afternoon convection expected. Trader emphasis on the 94-95°F bin reflects this baseline, while the broad distribution across 92-97°F captures uncertainty from variable cloud cover, thunderstorm timing, and steering patterns that can either suppress or allow brief spikes above normal. Recent model runs show limited spread, consistent with historical July variability where daily maxima rarely stray far from the 93°F seasonal average absent major frontal passages.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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