Jeddah's July climatology, with average daily highs near 37°C driven by persistent subtropical high pressure and strong radiative heating over the Red Sea, underpins the market's concentration of implied probability on 36–38°C outcomes for July 14. Recent numerical weather prediction runs show stable northwesterly flow and minimal cloud cover through mid-month, keeping temperatures aligned with seasonal norms rather than anomalous heat or cooling from transient moisture surges. Short-range ensemble guidance indicates modest day-to-day variability tied to boundary-layer mixing and sea-breeze effects, with the highest daily maximum likely falling between 36–38°C absent unexpected synoptic shifts. Updated model cycles and official Saudi meteorological briefings over the next 48 hours represent the key data points that could refine these probabilities before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月14日吉达的最高温度?
38℃或更高 48%
37°C 41%
36°C 8%
35°C 2.6%
$13,038 交易量
$13,038 交易量
28°C或以下
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
3%
36°C
8%
37°C
41%
38℃或更高
48%
38℃或更高 48%
37°C 41%
36°C 8%
35°C 2.6%
$13,038 交易量
$13,038 交易量
28°C或以下
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
3%
36°C
8%
37°C
41%
38℃或更高
48%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jul 12, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Jeddah's July climatology, with average daily highs near 37°C driven by persistent subtropical high pressure and strong radiative heating over the Red Sea, underpins the market's concentration of implied probability on 36–38°C outcomes for July 14. Recent numerical weather prediction runs show stable northwesterly flow and minimal cloud cover through mid-month, keeping temperatures aligned with seasonal norms rather than anomalous heat or cooling from transient moisture surges. Short-range ensemble guidance indicates modest day-to-day variability tied to boundary-layer mixing and sea-breeze effects, with the highest daily maximum likely falling between 36–38°C absent unexpected synoptic shifts. Updated model cycles and official Saudi meteorological briefings over the next 48 hours represent the key data points that could refine these probabilities before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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