PAGASA's latest outlook for July 10 points to a 30°C high in Manila amid widespread cloud cover and a 100% chance of rain tied to the Southwest Monsoon, moderating daytime heating below the typical July average near 31°C. Persistent easterly or monsoon flows promote convective activity that limits solar insolation and caps maxima, while any brief clearing or reduced rainfall could allow temperatures to reach 31°C. With outcomes clustered tightly around 30–31°C, traders weigh short-term model runs and monsoon intensity against historical variability in peak readings measured at official stations. Updated PAGASA briefings and refined numerical weather predictions through July 9 will likely refine these probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Manila on July 10?
Highest temperature in Manila on July 10?
31°C 47%
32°C 26%
30°C 23%
33°C 8.1%
最新
$18,776 交易量
最新
$18,776 交易量
2026-07-10
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
23%
31°C
47%
32°C
26%
33°C
8%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 47%
32°C 26%
30°C 23%
33°C 8.1%
最新
$18,776 交易量
最新
$18,776 交易量
2026-07-10
25°C or below
$1,845 交易量
<1%
26°C
$1,172 交易量
<1%
27°C
$734 交易量
<1%
28°C
$2,283 交易量
<1%
29°C
$4,981 交易量
<1%
30°C
$1,979 交易量
23%
31°C
$1,145 交易量
47%
32°C
$1,305 交易量
26%
33°C
$1,455 交易量
8%
34°C
$794 交易量
1%
35°C or higher
$1,083 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.PAGASA's latest outlook for July 10 points to a 30°C high in Manila amid widespread cloud cover and a 100% chance of rain tied to the Southwest Monsoon, moderating daytime heating below the typical July average near 31°C. Persistent easterly or monsoon flows promote convective activity that limits solar insolation and caps maxima, while any brief clearing or reduced rainfall could allow temperatures to reach 31°C. With outcomes clustered tightly around 30–31°C, traders weigh short-term model runs and monsoon intensity against historical variability in peak readings measured at official stations. Updated PAGASA briefings and refined numerical weather predictions through July 9 will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$18,776结束日期
2026-07-10市场开放时间
Jul 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.PAGASA's latest outlook for July 10 points to a 30°C high in Manila amid widespread cloud cover and a 100% chance of rain tied to the Southwest Monsoon, moderating daytime heating below the typical July average near 31°C. Persistent easterly or monsoon flows promote convective activity that limits solar insolation and caps maxima, while any brief clearing or reduced rainfall could allow temperatures to reach 31°C. With outcomes clustered tightly around 30–31°C, traders weigh short-term model runs and monsoon intensity against historical variability in peak readings measured at official stations. Updated PAGASA briefings and refined numerical weather predictions through July 9 will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$18,776结束日期
2026-07-10市场开放时间
Jul 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ETPAGASA's latest outlook for July 10 points to a 30°C high in Manila amid widespread cloud cover and a 100% chance of rain tied to the Southwest Monsoon, moderating daytime heating below the typical July average near 31°C. Persistent easterly or monsoon flows promote convective activity that limits solar insolation and caps maxima, while any brief clearing or reduced rainfall could allow temperatures to reach 31°C. With outcomes clustered tightly around 30–31°C, traders weigh short-term model runs and monsoon intensity against historical variability in peak readings measured at official stations. Updated PAGASA briefings and refined numerical weather predictions through July 9 will likely refine these probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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