Current forecast models from NOAA and the National Weather Service project Miami highs near 88–92°F on July 6 amid a persistent warm, humid subtropical air mass. Afternoon sea-breeze convergence and scattered thunderstorms—common in South Florida summers—introduce the main uncertainty, as cloud cover and evaporative cooling can suppress peaks into the upper 80s while clearer intervals or stronger subsidence favor the low 90s. These conditions sit slightly above the 88–89°F July climatological average, with recent regional heat supporting the market’s tight clustering around 90–93°F outcomes. Updated model runs and local observations through July 5 evening will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Miami on July 6?
90-91°F 47%
92-93°F 23%
88-89°F 22%
86-87°F 2.5%
$22,723 交易量
$22,723 交易量
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
22%
90-91°F
47%
92-93°F
23%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
1%
98°F or higher
<1%
90-91°F 47%
92-93°F 23%
88-89°F 22%
86-87°F 2.5%
$22,723 交易量
$22,723 交易量
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
22%
90-91°F
47%
92-93°F
23%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
1%
98°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jul 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecast models from NOAA and the National Weather Service project Miami highs near 88–92°F on July 6 amid a persistent warm, humid subtropical air mass. Afternoon sea-breeze convergence and scattered thunderstorms—common in South Florida summers—introduce the main uncertainty, as cloud cover and evaporative cooling can suppress peaks into the upper 80s while clearer intervals or stronger subsidence favor the low 90s. These conditions sit slightly above the 88–89°F July climatological average, with recent regional heat supporting the market’s tight clustering around 90–93°F outcomes. Updated model runs and local observations through July 5 evening will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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