Forecast ensembles from major models highlight variable Atlantic air mass advection and lingering cloud cover with scattered showers as the main drivers keeping July 10 Moscow highs clustered in the mid-20s Celsius, aligning with trader emphasis on the 25–27°C outcomes. Daytime solar heating will depend on breaks in overcast conditions and any convective development, while climatological baselines for early July average near 22–24°C. The tight spread across 24–28°C reflects genuine short-range uncertainty in peak timing and local boundary-layer mixing, with fresh model runs and observational updates from Russian meteorological services likely to sharpen resolution probabilities before the market settles.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Moscow on July 10?
27°C 36%
28°C 32.8%
26°C 19%
29°C 8.0%
$21,698 交易量
$21,698 交易量
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
5%
26°C
19%
27°C
36%
28°C
33%
29°C
8%
30°C
3%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 36%
28°C 32.8%
26°C 19%
29°C 8.0%
$21,698 交易量
$21,698 交易量
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
5%
26°C
19%
27°C
36%
28°C
33%
29°C
8%
30°C
3%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jul 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast ensembles from major models highlight variable Atlantic air mass advection and lingering cloud cover with scattered showers as the main drivers keeping July 10 Moscow highs clustered in the mid-20s Celsius, aligning with trader emphasis on the 25–27°C outcomes. Daytime solar heating will depend on breaks in overcast conditions and any convective development, while climatological baselines for early July average near 22–24°C. The tight spread across 24–28°C reflects genuine short-range uncertainty in peak timing and local boundary-layer mixing, with fresh model runs and observational updates from Russian meteorological services likely to sharpen resolution probabilities before the market settles.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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