Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance points to a highest temperature in New York City on July 8 most likely in the low 80s, driven by a moderating post-heat-wave pattern with moderate southwesterly flow, partial cloud cover, and urban heat island effects tempered by proximity to cooler Atlantic waters. Sea-breeze timing and boundary-layer mixing introduce the narrow spread across 80–83°F outcomes, while any delay in onshore flow or reduced insolation could cap readings near 79°F. Model consensus remains tight this close to verification, with updates from the 12Z and 00Z cycles expected to refine peak wind and humidity profiles before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in NYC on July 8?
Highest temperature in NYC on July 8?
82-83°F 36%
80-81°F 26%
84-85°F 22%
78-79°F 11%
最新
最新
2026-07-08
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
11%
80-81°F
26%
82-83°F
36%
84-85°F
22%
86-87°F
6%
88-89°F
1%
90°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 36%
80-81°F 26%
84-85°F 22%
78-79°F 11%
最新
最新
2026-07-08
71°F or below
$474 交易量
<1%
72-73°F
$1,115 交易量
<1%
74-75°F
$460 交易量
1%
76-77°F
$291 交易量
3%
78-79°F
$1,452 交易量
11%
80-81°F
$1,903 交易量
26%
82-83°F
$246 交易量
36%
84-85°F
$317 交易量
22%
86-87°F
$389 交易量
6%
88-89°F
$315 交易量
1%
90°F or higher
$155 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance points to a highest temperature in New York City on July 8 most likely in the low 80s, driven by a moderating post-heat-wave pattern with moderate southwesterly flow, partial cloud cover, and urban heat island effects tempered by proximity to cooler Atlantic waters. Sea-breeze timing and boundary-layer mixing introduce the narrow spread across 80–83°F outcomes, while any delay in onshore flow or reduced insolation could cap readings near 79°F. Model consensus remains tight this close to verification, with updates from the 12Z and 00Z cycles expected to refine peak wind and humidity profiles before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 6, 2026, 10:02 PM ET
交易量
$7,119结束日期
2026-07-08市场开放时间
Jul 6, 2026, 10:02 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance points to a highest temperature in New York City on July 8 most likely in the low 80s, driven by a moderating post-heat-wave pattern with moderate southwesterly flow, partial cloud cover, and urban heat island effects tempered by proximity to cooler Atlantic waters. Sea-breeze timing and boundary-layer mixing introduce the narrow spread across 80–83°F outcomes, while any delay in onshore flow or reduced insolation could cap readings near 79°F. Model consensus remains tight this close to verification, with updates from the 12Z and 00Z cycles expected to refine peak wind and humidity profiles before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$7,119结束日期
2026-07-08市场开放时间
Jul 6, 2026, 10:02 PM ETRecent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance points to a highest temperature in New York City on July 8 most likely in the low 80s, driven by a moderating post-heat-wave pattern with moderate southwesterly flow, partial cloud cover, and urban heat island effects tempered by proximity to cooler Atlantic waters. Sea-breeze timing and boundary-layer mixing introduce the narrow spread across 80–83°F outcomes, while any delay in onshore flow or reduced insolation could cap readings near 79°F. Model consensus remains tight this close to verification, with updates from the 12Z and 00Z cycles expected to refine peak wind and humidity profiles before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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