**Trader sentiment for the June 29 highest temperature in Panama City, Panama, centers on short-range ensemble guidance showing a most likely peak near 33–34 °C amid early wet-season conditions.** Persistent moisture from the Intertropical Convergence Zone, variable trade-wind strength, and afternoon convection introduce uncertainty in maximum readings, keeping implied probabilities tightly clustered between 33 °C and 34 °C. Strengthening El Niño conditions, with Niño-3.4 anomalies exceeding +1.0 °C, tilt the seasonal pattern toward above-average warmth and reduced rainfall relative to the 29–31 °C June climatology, elevating the chance of peaks in the upper range. Model differences on convection timing and boundary-layer mixing can suppress or enhance surface heating by 1–2 °C, explaining the close split in market-implied odds. Official observations, likely from Tocumen International Airport, will resolve the market, with any final forecast adjustments able to shift probabilities before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月29日巴拿马城气温最高？
6月29日巴拿马城气温最高？
34°C 36%
33°C 34%
32°C 16%
35°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-06-29
28°C或以下
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C
16%
33°C
34%
34°C
36%
35°C
10%
36°C
3%
37°C
1%
38°C或更高
<1%
34°C 36%
33°C 34%
32°C 16%
35°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-06-29
28°C或以下
$10 交易量
<1%
29°C
$105 交易量
<1%
30°C
$5 交易量
2%
31°C
$0 交易量
2%
32°C
$12 交易量
16%
33°C
$77 交易量
34%
34°C
$64 交易量
36%
35°C
$222 交易量
10%
36°C
$0 交易量
3%
37°C
$252 交易量
1%
38°C或更高
$4,591 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the June 29 highest temperature in Panama City, Panama, centers on short-range ensemble guidance showing a most likely peak near 33–34 °C amid early wet-season conditions.** Persistent moisture from the Intertropical Convergence Zone, variable trade-wind strength, and afternoon convection introduce uncertainty in maximum readings, keeping implied probabilities tightly clustered between 33 °C and 34 °C.
Strengthening El Niño conditions, with Niño-3.4 anomalies exceeding +1.0 °C, tilt the seasonal pattern toward above-average warmth and reduced rainfall relative to the 29–31 °C June climatology, elevating the chance of peaks in the upper range. Model differences on convection timing and boundary-layer mixing can suppress or enhance surface heating by 1–2 °C, explaining the close split in market-implied odds. Official observations, likely from Tocumen International Airport, will resolve the market, with any final forecast adjustments able to shift probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 27, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
交易量
$5,340结束日期
2026-06-29市场开放时间
Jun 27, 2026, 9:03 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the June 29 highest temperature in Panama City, Panama, centers on short-range ensemble guidance showing a most likely peak near 33–34 °C amid early wet-season conditions.** Persistent moisture from the Intertropical Convergence Zone, variable trade-wind strength, and afternoon convection introduce uncertainty in maximum readings, keeping implied probabilities tightly clustered between 33 °C and 34 °C.
Strengthening El Niño conditions, with Niño-3.4 anomalies exceeding +1.0 °C, tilt the seasonal pattern toward above-average warmth and reduced rainfall relative to the 29–31 °C June climatology, elevating the chance of peaks in the upper range. Model differences on convection timing and boundary-layer mixing can suppress or enhance surface heating by 1–2 °C, explaining the close split in market-implied odds. Official observations, likely from Tocumen International Airport, will resolve the market, with any final forecast adjustments able to shift probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5,340结束日期
2026-06-29市场开放时间
Jun 27, 2026, 9:03 PM ET**Trader sentiment for the June 29 highest temperature in Panama City, Panama, centers on short-range ensemble guidance showing a most likely peak near 33–34 °C amid early wet-season conditions.** Persistent moisture from the Intertropical Convergence Zone, variable trade-wind strength, and afternoon convection introduce uncertainty in maximum readings, keeping implied probabilities tightly clustered between 33 °C and 34 °C. Strengthening El Niño conditions, with Niño-3.4 anomalies exceeding +1.0 °C, tilt the seasonal pattern toward above-average warmth and reduced rainfall relative to the 29–31 °C June climatology, elevating the chance of peaks in the upper range. Model differences on convection timing and boundary-layer mixing can suppress or enhance surface heating by 1–2 °C, explaining the close split in market-implied odds. Official observations, likely from Tocumen International Airport, will resolve the market, with any final forecast adjustments able to shift probabilities before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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