Forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration show Qingdao's July 10 peak temperature likely clustering near 29–31°C due to typical summer monsoon moisture, moderate southerly flow, and coastal sea-breeze moderation that limits extreme heating. Ensemble guidance reflects modest uncertainty from variable cloud cover and scattered showers that could cap or boost readings by 1–2°C, keeping 30°C the market favorite at 32.5% implied probability while nearby outcomes trade closely. Historical July averages near 27–29°C provide context, yet current runs favor a slight positive anomaly driven by regional warmth. Updated model runs and official 48-hour forecasts over the next day will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Qingdao on July 10?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on July 10?
29°C 29%
30°C 27%
31°C 20%
32°C 13%
最新
$27,435 交易量
最新
$27,435 交易量
2026-07-10
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
10%
29°C
29%
30°C
27%
31°C
20%
32°C
13%
33°C or higher
1%
29°C 29%
30°C 27%
31°C 20%
32°C 13%
最新
$27,435 交易量
最新
$27,435 交易量
2026-07-10
23°C or below
$1,785 交易量
<1%
24°C
$1,651 交易量
<1%
25°C
$2,688 交易量
<1%
26°C
$4,038 交易量
<1%
27°C
$3,574 交易量
2%
28°C
$2,878 交易量
10%
29°C
$3,798 交易量
29%
30°C
$2,009 交易量
27%
31°C
$1,865 交易量
20%
32°C
$1,852 交易量
13%
33°C or higher
$1,328 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration show Qingdao's July 10 peak temperature likely clustering near 29–31°C due to typical summer monsoon moisture, moderate southerly flow, and coastal sea-breeze moderation that limits extreme heating. Ensemble guidance reflects modest uncertainty from variable cloud cover and scattered showers that could cap or boost readings by 1–2°C, keeping 30°C the market favorite at 32.5% implied probability while nearby outcomes trade closely. Historical July averages near 27–29°C provide context, yet current runs favor a slight positive anomaly driven by regional warmth. Updated model runs and official 48-hour forecasts over the next day will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$27,435结束日期
2026-07-10市场开放时间
Jul 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration show Qingdao's July 10 peak temperature likely clustering near 29–31°C due to typical summer monsoon moisture, moderate southerly flow, and coastal sea-breeze moderation that limits extreme heating. Ensemble guidance reflects modest uncertainty from variable cloud cover and scattered showers that could cap or boost readings by 1–2°C, keeping 30°C the market favorite at 32.5% implied probability while nearby outcomes trade closely. Historical July averages near 27–29°C provide context, yet current runs favor a slight positive anomaly driven by regional warmth. Updated model runs and official 48-hour forecasts over the next day will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$27,435结束日期
2026-07-10市场开放时间
Jul 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ETForecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration show Qingdao's July 10 peak temperature likely clustering near 29–31°C due to typical summer monsoon moisture, moderate southerly flow, and coastal sea-breeze moderation that limits extreme heating. Ensemble guidance reflects modest uncertainty from variable cloud cover and scattered showers that could cap or boost readings by 1–2°C, keeping 30°C the market favorite at 32.5% implied probability while nearby outcomes trade closely. Historical July averages near 27–29°C provide context, yet current runs favor a slight positive anomaly driven by regional warmth. Updated model runs and official 48-hour forecasts over the next day will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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