National Weather Service forecasts highlight a persistent marine layer and moderate onshore flow as the dominant influences keeping San Francisco's July 10 high likely in the mid-to-upper 60s. Model consensus points to morning clouds giving way to partial sunshine, with sea breezes strengthening by afternoon to cap warming near the coast. This setup aligns with historical July patterns where coastal locations average around 67°F, well below inland values. The near-even market split between 66-67°F and 68-69°F reflects uncertainty in exact burn-off timing and wind strength, both of which can shift the peak by 1-2°F. Updated NWS guidance and morning observations will provide the clearest signals ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in San Francisco on July 10?
66-67°F 38%
68-69°F 30%
64-65°F 18%
70-71°F 10%
59°F or below
<1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
6%
64-65°F
18%
66-67°F
38%
68-69°F
30%
70-71°F
10%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
<1%
78°F or higher
<1%
66-67°F 38%
68-69°F 30%
64-65°F 18%
70-71°F 10%
59°F or below
<1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
6%
64-65°F
18%
66-67°F
38%
68-69°F
30%
70-71°F
10%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
<1%
78°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jul 8, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
National Weather Service forecasts highlight a persistent marine layer and moderate onshore flow as the dominant influences keeping San Francisco's July 10 high likely in the mid-to-upper 60s. Model consensus points to morning clouds giving way to partial sunshine, with sea breezes strengthening by afternoon to cap warming near the coast. This setup aligns with historical July patterns where coastal locations average around 67°F, well below inland values. The near-even market split between 66-67°F and 68-69°F reflects uncertainty in exact burn-off timing and wind strength, both of which can shift the peak by 1-2°F. Updated NWS guidance and morning observations will provide the clearest signals ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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