Forecast models from agencies like INMET and international ensembles indicate a highest temperature in São Paulo on June 21 most likely near 22–23°C, consistent with trader-implied odds favoring those outcomes. Mid-June marks the heart of the dry winter season in the region, when clear skies, light winds, and a stable subtropical high-pressure system typically produce daytime maxima around the seasonal norm of 20–24°C. Differentiating factors between the leading bins include subtle variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and urban heat-island effects that can add or subtract 1–2°C. Recent model runs show limited spread, though small shifts in the position of the South Atlantic anticyclone could still adjust the final maximum before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月21日圣保罗的最高温度?
22°C 35%
23°C 30%
21°C 14%
24°C 9.3%
15°C或以下
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
9%
21°C
14%
22°C
35%
23°C
30%
24°C
9%
25°C或更高
2%
22°C 35%
23°C 30%
21°C 14%
24°C 9.3%
15°C或以下
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
9%
21°C
14%
22°C
35%
23°C
30%
24°C
9%
25°C或更高
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 19, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from agencies like INMET and international ensembles indicate a highest temperature in São Paulo on June 21 most likely near 22–23°C, consistent with trader-implied odds favoring those outcomes. Mid-June marks the heart of the dry winter season in the region, when clear skies, light winds, and a stable subtropical high-pressure system typically produce daytime maxima around the seasonal norm of 20–24°C. Differentiating factors between the leading bins include subtle variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and urban heat-island effects that can add or subtract 1–2°C. Recent model runs show limited spread, though small shifts in the position of the South Atlantic anticyclone could still adjust the final maximum before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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