**Trader sentiment for Seoul's July 10 maximum temperature remains closely divided among 27–30°C outcomes because short-range numerical weather models show modest spread amid ongoing East Asian monsoon (Jangma) conditions.** Persistent high humidity, variable cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms—already evident in early July patterns—can suppress peak heating by limiting insolation or enhance it during brief clear intervals, with the precise timing and intensity of rain bands determining whether the daily high reaches the upper or lower end of the 26–31°C envelope. Official guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and ensemble forecasts highlight typical July variability around 28–30°C baselines, while Seoul’s urban heat island adds a small upward bias. The balanced probabilities mirror genuine forecast uncertainty two days out, with model updates and any revised precipitation timing expected to drive further market adjustments before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Seoul on July 10?
Highest temperature in Seoul on July 10?
28°C 40%
27°C 36%
29°C 10%
26°C 5.1%
最新
$55,968 交易量
最新
$55,968 交易量
2026-07-10
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
5%
27°C
36%
28°C
40%
29°C
10%
30°C
3%
31°C or higher
1%
28°C 40%
27°C 36%
29°C 10%
26°C 5.1%
最新
$55,968 交易量
最新
$55,968 交易量
2026-07-10
21°C or below
$2,291 交易量
<1%
22°C
$2,132 交易量
<1%
23°C
$4,194 交易量
<1%
24°C
$3,051 交易量
<1%
25°C
$4,031 交易量
<1%
26°C
$8,035 交易量
5%
27°C
$8,256 交易量
36%
28°C
$7,611 交易量
40%
29°C
$6,751 交易量
10%
30°C
$4,447 交易量
3%
31°C or higher
$6,094 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Seoul's July 10 maximum temperature remains closely divided among 27–30°C outcomes because short-range numerical weather models show modest spread amid ongoing East Asian monsoon (Jangma) conditions.** Persistent high humidity, variable cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms—already evident in early July patterns—can suppress peak heating by limiting insolation or enhance it during brief clear intervals, with the precise timing and intensity of rain bands determining whether the daily high reaches the upper or lower end of the 26–31°C envelope. Official guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and ensemble forecasts highlight typical July variability around 28–30°C baselines, while Seoul’s urban heat island adds a small upward bias. The balanced probabilities mirror genuine forecast uncertainty two days out, with model updates and any revised precipitation timing expected to drive further market adjustments before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$55,968结束日期
2026-07-10市场开放时间
Jul 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Seoul's July 10 maximum temperature remains closely divided among 27–30°C outcomes because short-range numerical weather models show modest spread amid ongoing East Asian monsoon (Jangma) conditions.** Persistent high humidity, variable cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms—already evident in early July patterns—can suppress peak heating by limiting insolation or enhance it during brief clear intervals, with the precise timing and intensity of rain bands determining whether the daily high reaches the upper or lower end of the 26–31°C envelope. Official guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and ensemble forecasts highlight typical July variability around 28–30°C baselines, while Seoul’s urban heat island adds a small upward bias. The balanced probabilities mirror genuine forecast uncertainty two days out, with model updates and any revised precipitation timing expected to drive further market adjustments before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$55,968结束日期
2026-07-10市场开放时间
Jul 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ET**Trader sentiment for Seoul's July 10 maximum temperature remains closely divided among 27–30°C outcomes because short-range numerical weather models show modest spread amid ongoing East Asian monsoon (Jangma) conditions.** Persistent high humidity, variable cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms—already evident in early July patterns—can suppress peak heating by limiting insolation or enhance it during brief clear intervals, with the precise timing and intensity of rain bands determining whether the daily high reaches the upper or lower end of the 26–31°C envelope. Official guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and ensemble forecasts highlight typical July variability around 28–30°C baselines, while Seoul’s urban heat island adds a small upward bias. The balanced probabilities mirror genuine forecast uncertainty two days out, with model updates and any revised precipitation timing expected to drive further market adjustments before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题