Recent official forecasts for Shenzhen point to a July 10 maximum near 33–34 °C under typical East Asian summer monsoon flow, with high humidity and variable cloud cover as the dominant controls on daytime heating. Subtle differences in model guidance for convective timing, boundary-layer moisture, and sea-breeze strength create the tight spread among the 32 °C, 33 °C, and 34 °C brackets that traders currently favor. Historical July climatology places the most probable outcomes in this narrow band, while urban heat-island effects and limited recent rainfall keep the distribution anchored near the upper end of the seasonal average. Updated runs from regional models and any new tropical moisture signals in the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift resolution odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Shenzhen on July 10?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on July 10?
33°C 42%
32°C 25%
34°C 23%
35°C 7.2%
最新
$27,489 交易量
最新
$27,489 交易量
2026-07-10
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
7%
32°C
25%
33°C
42%
34°C
23%
35°C
7%
36°C or higher
1%
33°C 42%
32°C 25%
34°C 23%
35°C 7.2%
最新
$27,489 交易量
最新
$27,489 交易量
2026-07-10
26°C or below
$1,412 交易量
<1%
27°C
$1,845 交易量
<1%
28°C
$1,629 交易量
<1%
29°C
$1,231 交易量
<1%
30°C
$1,971 交易量
1%
31°C
$1,995 交易量
7%
32°C
$2,967 交易量
25%
33°C
$3,217 交易量
42%
34°C
$3,891 交易量
23%
35°C
$3,923 交易量
7%
36°C or higher
$3,409 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts for Shenzhen point to a July 10 maximum near 33–34 °C under typical East Asian summer monsoon flow, with high humidity and variable cloud cover as the dominant controls on daytime heating. Subtle differences in model guidance for convective timing, boundary-layer moisture, and sea-breeze strength create the tight spread among the 32 °C, 33 °C, and 34 °C brackets that traders currently favor. Historical July climatology places the most probable outcomes in this narrow band, while urban heat-island effects and limited recent rainfall keep the distribution anchored near the upper end of the seasonal average. Updated runs from regional models and any new tropical moisture signals in the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift resolution odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$27,489结束日期
2026-07-10市场开放时间
Jul 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts for Shenzhen point to a July 10 maximum near 33–34 °C under typical East Asian summer monsoon flow, with high humidity and variable cloud cover as the dominant controls on daytime heating. Subtle differences in model guidance for convective timing, boundary-layer moisture, and sea-breeze strength create the tight spread among the 32 °C, 33 °C, and 34 °C brackets that traders currently favor. Historical July climatology places the most probable outcomes in this narrow band, while urban heat-island effects and limited recent rainfall keep the distribution anchored near the upper end of the seasonal average. Updated runs from regional models and any new tropical moisture signals in the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift resolution odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$27,489结束日期
2026-07-10市场开放时间
Jul 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ETRecent official forecasts for Shenzhen point to a July 10 maximum near 33–34 °C under typical East Asian summer monsoon flow, with high humidity and variable cloud cover as the dominant controls on daytime heating. Subtle differences in model guidance for convective timing, boundary-layer moisture, and sea-breeze strength create the tight spread among the 32 °C, 33 °C, and 34 °C brackets that traders currently favor. Historical July climatology places the most probable outcomes in this narrow band, while urban heat-island effects and limited recent rainfall keep the distribution anchored near the upper end of the seasonal average. Updated runs from regional models and any new tropical moisture signals in the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift resolution odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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