Latest Japan Meteorological Agency guidance points to partly cloudy conditions over Tokyo on July 10, supporting maximum temperatures near 30 °C amid the ongoing early-July heatwave. Subtropical high pressure and limited cloud cover favor diurnal heating, yet coastal sea-breeze effects and any increase in afternoon cloudiness could cap the peak at 29 °C or allow a brief push to 31 °C. Ensemble spread in short-range models remains modest but highlights sensitivity to exact timing of cloud build-up and boundary-layer moisture. The market’s tight clustering around 29–31 °C (74 % combined implied probability) reflects this narrow forecast envelope two days out, with resolution hinging on the official JMA observation at the Tokyo station.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Tokyo on July 10?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on July 10?
31°C 44%
30°C 30%
32°C 16.9%
33°C 5.4%
最新
$40,981 交易量
最新
$40,981 交易量
2026-07-10
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
4%
30°C
30%
31°C
44%
32°C
17%
33°C
5%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 44%
30°C 30%
32°C 16.9%
33°C 5.4%
最新
$40,981 交易量
最新
$40,981 交易量
2026-07-10
26°C or below
$1,202 交易量
<1%
27°C
$2,073 交易量
<1%
28°C
$4,253 交易量
1%
29°C
$3,311 交易量
4%
30°C
$5,384 交易量
30%
31°C
$6,985 交易量
44%
32°C
$4,066 交易量
17%
33°C
$3,057 交易量
5%
34°C
$6,183 交易量
1%
35°C
$1,404 交易量
<1%
36°C or higher
$3,166 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Japan Meteorological Agency guidance points to partly cloudy conditions over Tokyo on July 10, supporting maximum temperatures near 30 °C amid the ongoing early-July heatwave. Subtropical high pressure and limited cloud cover favor diurnal heating, yet coastal sea-breeze effects and any increase in afternoon cloudiness could cap the peak at 29 °C or allow a brief push to 31 °C. Ensemble spread in short-range models remains modest but highlights sensitivity to exact timing of cloud build-up and boundary-layer moisture. The market’s tight clustering around 29–31 °C (74 % combined implied probability) reflects this narrow forecast envelope two days out, with resolution hinging on the official JMA observation at the Tokyo station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$40,981结束日期
2026-07-10市场开放时间
Jul 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Japan Meteorological Agency guidance points to partly cloudy conditions over Tokyo on July 10, supporting maximum temperatures near 30 °C amid the ongoing early-July heatwave. Subtropical high pressure and limited cloud cover favor diurnal heating, yet coastal sea-breeze effects and any increase in afternoon cloudiness could cap the peak at 29 °C or allow a brief push to 31 °C. Ensemble spread in short-range models remains modest but highlights sensitivity to exact timing of cloud build-up and boundary-layer moisture. The market’s tight clustering around 29–31 °C (74 % combined implied probability) reflects this narrow forecast envelope two days out, with resolution hinging on the official JMA observation at the Tokyo station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$40,981结束日期
2026-07-10市场开放时间
Jul 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ETLatest Japan Meteorological Agency guidance points to partly cloudy conditions over Tokyo on July 10, supporting maximum temperatures near 30 °C amid the ongoing early-July heatwave. Subtropical high pressure and limited cloud cover favor diurnal heating, yet coastal sea-breeze effects and any increase in afternoon cloudiness could cap the peak at 29 °C or allow a brief push to 31 °C. Ensemble spread in short-range models remains modest but highlights sensitivity to exact timing of cloud build-up and boundary-layer moisture. The market’s tight clustering around 29–31 °C (74 % combined implied probability) reflects this narrow forecast envelope two days out, with resolution hinging on the official JMA observation at the Tokyo station.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题