Recent forecast updates from Environment and Climate Change Canada and ensemble models place Toronto’s July 10 high near 27–28°C under partly cloudy skies with a modest chance of showers or thunderstorms, driving the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes. Daytime mixing of a warm, humid airmass, southeasterly flow, and variable cloud cover introduce the main uncertainties that differentiate 27°C from 29°C scenarios, while historical July averages near 27°C provide a climatological baseline. Updated model runs expected overnight will clarify how any overnight cooling or morning convection shifts the peak reading, allowing traders to refine positions before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Toronto on July 10?
27°C 41%
28°C 25%
26°C 23%
29°C 11%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
4%
26°C
23%
27°C
41%
28°C
25%
29°C
11%
30°C
4%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 41%
28°C 25%
26°C 23%
29°C 11%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
4%
26°C
23%
27°C
41%
28°C
25%
29°C
11%
30°C
4%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jul 8, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast updates from Environment and Climate Change Canada and ensemble models place Toronto’s July 10 high near 27–28°C under partly cloudy skies with a modest chance of showers or thunderstorms, driving the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes. Daytime mixing of a warm, humid airmass, southeasterly flow, and variable cloud cover introduce the main uncertainties that differentiate 27°C from 29°C scenarios, while historical July averages near 27°C provide a climatological baseline. Updated model runs expected overnight will clarify how any overnight cooling or morning convection shifts the peak reading, allowing traders to refine positions before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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