Recent model consensus from Environment Canada and major ensembles favors a Toronto high of 35–37°C on July 14 under strong high pressure and southerly flow advecting warm, humid air across the region. Modest differences in forecast timing of any afternoon cloud cover or lake-breeze onset create tight clustering between the 36°C and 37°C outcomes, while the 35°C bracket reflects residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing. Historical July maxima near 35°C provide context, but current ridge strength and low-level thickness values support the upper end of that range. Updated 12Z model runs and the next Environment Canada public forecast will be the key near-term catalysts for repricing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月14日多伦多气温最高?
36°C 48%
37°C 31%
38°C 13%
35°C 10%
$12,565 交易量
$12,565 交易量
32°C or below
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
2%
35°C
10%
36°C
48%
37°C
31%
38°C
13%
39°C
1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C or higher
<1%
36°C 48%
37°C 31%
38°C 13%
35°C 10%
$12,565 交易量
$12,565 交易量
32°C or below
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
2%
35°C
10%
36°C
48%
37°C
31%
38°C
13%
39°C
1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jul 12, 2026, 9:01 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent model consensus from Environment Canada and major ensembles favors a Toronto high of 35–37°C on July 14 under strong high pressure and southerly flow advecting warm, humid air across the region. Modest differences in forecast timing of any afternoon cloud cover or lake-breeze onset create tight clustering between the 36°C and 37°C outcomes, while the 35°C bracket reflects residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing. Historical July maxima near 35°C provide context, but current ridge strength and low-level thickness values support the upper end of that range. Updated 12Z model runs and the next Environment Canada public forecast will be the key near-term catalysts for repricing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题