**Official observations confirmed a daily high of exactly 25°C in Toronto on September 12, 2026, driving the market's near-certain pricing on that outcome.** Environment Canada forecasts and numerical weather models anticipated afternoon peaks near 24–26°C under partly cloudy skies, light southeast winds, and moderate humidity typical of early-to-mid September conditions. This aligned closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 22.8°C while falling well below historical extremes above 30°C for the date. With the event concluded and consistent station readings available the following day, trader consensus reflected verified data rather than forecast uncertainty. Minor station-to-station variations or post-analysis revisions remain the only plausible paths to a different resolution threshold.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月12日多伦多气温最高?
25°C 100.0%
21°C或以下 <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$62,122 交易量
$62,122 交易量
21°C或以下
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
是
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C或更高
否
25°C 100.0%
21°C或以下 <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$62,122 交易量
$62,122 交易量
21°C或以下
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
是
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C或更高
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 10, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
**Official observations confirmed a daily high of exactly 25°C in Toronto on September 12, 2026, driving the market's near-certain pricing on that outcome.** Environment Canada forecasts and numerical weather models anticipated afternoon peaks near 24–26°C under partly cloudy skies, light southeast winds, and moderate humidity typical of early-to-mid September conditions. This aligned closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 22.8°C while falling well below historical extremes above 30°C for the date. With the event concluded and consistent station readings available the following day, trader consensus reflected verified data rather than forecast uncertainty. Minor station-to-station variations or post-analysis revisions remain the only plausible paths to a different resolution threshold.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题