Recent numerical weather model consensus from ECMWF, GFS, and CMA places Wuhan's July 10 maximum near 35–36 °C, reflecting the subtropical high-pressure ridge that dominates the Yangtze basin in midsummer and promotes strong daytime heating under partly cloudy skies. High humidity from the East Asian monsoon reduces the diurnal temperature range while enhancing the urban heat-island effect in Wuhan, keeping overnight lows elevated and allowing modest daytime peaks. Minor forecast spread arises from uncertain timing of any passing short-wave trough or localized convective cloud cover, which can suppress or enhance the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Historical July climatology centers around 32–34 °C, so the current model guidance represents a modestly warmer-than-average setup that concentrates trader probability in the narrow 35–36 °C window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Wuhan on July 10?
36°C 41%
37°C 29.8%
35°C 22%
38°C 8.6%
$19,731 交易量
$19,731 交易量
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
5%
35°C
22%
36°C
41%
37°C
30%
38°C
9%
39°C
1%
40°C or higher
<1%
36°C 41%
37°C 29.8%
35°C 22%
38°C 8.6%
$19,731 交易量
$19,731 交易量
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
5%
35°C
22%
36°C
41%
37°C
30%
38°C
9%
39°C
1%
40°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jul 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent numerical weather model consensus from ECMWF, GFS, and CMA places Wuhan's July 10 maximum near 35–36 °C, reflecting the subtropical high-pressure ridge that dominates the Yangtze basin in midsummer and promotes strong daytime heating under partly cloudy skies. High humidity from the East Asian monsoon reduces the diurnal temperature range while enhancing the urban heat-island effect in Wuhan, keeping overnight lows elevated and allowing modest daytime peaks. Minor forecast spread arises from uncertain timing of any passing short-wave trough or localized convective cloud cover, which can suppress or enhance the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Historical July climatology centers around 32–34 °C, so the current model guidance represents a modestly warmer-than-average setup that concentrates trader probability in the narrow 35–36 °C window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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