Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors ICEMAN's runtime falling in the 60-70 minute range at 65% implied probability, driven by Drake's official tracklist reveal earlier this week confirming 18 songs for the ninth studio album, released today via OVO Sound and Republic Records alongside companion projects Habibti and Maid of Honour. With typical Drake track lengths averaging 3:30-4:00 minutes—mirroring For All the Dogs' 23-track, 55-minute structure but adjusted for fewer songs—traders anticipate a tight 68-minute total, positioning 50-60 minutes (45.5%) as the nearest rival amid debates over intros, skits, or extended outros. The 80-90 minute (41.5%) and 90+ (40.5%) buckets reflect lingering speculation from pre-release rumors of 20-26 tracks by DJ Akademiks, though the confirmed count has solidified shorter-run momentum. Market resolution hinges on official streaming platform metrics like Spotify's total duration post-release.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于How long will ICEMAN be?
How long will ICEMAN be?
60 - 70 minutes 100.0%
<30 minutes <1%
30 - 40 minutes <1%
40 - 50 minutes <1%
$16,810 交易量
$16,810 交易量
2026-05-15
<30 minutes
No
30 - 40 minutes
No
40 - 50 minutes
No
50 - 60 minutes
No
60 - 70 minutes
Yes
70 - 80 minutes
No
80 - 90 minutes
No
90+ minutes
No
60 - 70 minutes 100.0%
<30 minutes <1%
30 - 40 minutes <1%
40 - 50 minutes <1%
$16,810 交易量
$16,810 交易量
2026-05-15
<30 minutes
$14,921 交易量
No
30 - 40 minutes
$1,148 交易量
No
40 - 50 minutes
$85 交易量
No
50 - 60 minutes
$56 交易量
No
60 - 70 minutes
$175 交易量
Yes
70 - 80 minutes
$185 交易量
No
80 - 90 minutes
$88 交易量
No
90+ minutes
$152 交易量
No
Drake is expected to release his new album 'ICEMAN' in 2026.
This market will resolve based on the length of 'ICEMAN'.
The album length will be measured from the start of the first song to the end of the final song on the album once it is officially released in full.
Officially released means that 'ICEMAN' is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Any Drake album officially confirmed to be the 'ICEMAN' project will count, regardless of potential name changes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If 'ICEMAN' is not released by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify. If these sources disagree, this market will resolve solely based on the length of the album as released on Spotify.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors ICEMAN's runtime falling in the 60-70 minute range at 65% implied probability, driven by Drake's official tracklist reveal earlier this week confirming 18 songs for the ninth studio album, released today via OVO Sound and Republic Records alongside companion projects Habibti and Maid of Honour. With typical Drake track lengths averaging 3:30-4:00 minutes—mirroring For All the Dogs' 23-track, 55-minute structure but adjusted for fewer songs—traders anticipate a tight 68-minute total, positioning 50-60 minutes (45.5%) as the nearest rival amid debates over intros, skits, or extended outros. The 80-90 minute (41.5%) and 90+ (40.5%) buckets reflect lingering speculation from pre-release rumors of 20-26 tracks by DJ Akademiks, though the confirmed count has solidified shorter-run momentum. Market resolution hinges on official streaming platform metrics like Spotify's total duration post-release.
Drake is expected to release his new album 'ICEMAN' in 2026.
This market will resolve based on the length of 'ICEMAN'.
The album length will be measured from the start of the first song to the end of the final song on the album once it is officially released in full.
Officially released means that 'ICEMAN' is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Any Drake album officially confirmed to be the 'ICEMAN' project will count, regardless of potential name changes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If 'ICEMAN' is not released by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify. If these sources disagree, this market will resolve solely based on the length of the album as released on Spotify.
This market will resolve based on the length of 'ICEMAN'.
The album length will be measured from the start of the first song to the end of the final song on the album once it is officially released in full.
Officially released means that 'ICEMAN' is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Any Drake album officially confirmed to be the 'ICEMAN' project will count, regardless of potential name changes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If 'ICEMAN' is not released by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify. If these sources disagree, this market will resolve solely based on the length of the album as released on Spotify.
市场开放时间： Apr 23, 2026, 5:52 PM ET
交易量
$16,810结束日期
2026-05-15市场开放时间
Apr 23, 2026, 5:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Drake is expected to release his new album 'ICEMAN' in 2026.
This market will resolve based on the length of 'ICEMAN'.
The album length will be measured from the start of the first song to the end of the final song on the album once it is officially released in full.
Officially released means that 'ICEMAN' is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Any Drake album officially confirmed to be the 'ICEMAN' project will count, regardless of potential name changes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If 'ICEMAN' is not released by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify. If these sources disagree, this market will resolve solely based on the length of the album as released on Spotify.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors ICEMAN's runtime falling in the 60-70 minute range at 65% implied probability, driven by Drake's official tracklist reveal earlier this week confirming 18 songs for the ninth studio album, released today via OVO Sound and Republic Records alongside companion projects Habibti and Maid of Honour. With typical Drake track lengths averaging 3:30-4:00 minutes—mirroring For All the Dogs' 23-track, 55-minute structure but adjusted for fewer songs—traders anticipate a tight 68-minute total, positioning 50-60 minutes (45.5%) as the nearest rival amid debates over intros, skits, or extended outros. The 80-90 minute (41.5%) and 90+ (40.5%) buckets reflect lingering speculation from pre-release rumors of 20-26 tracks by DJ Akademiks, though the confirmed count has solidified shorter-run momentum. Market resolution hinges on official streaming platform metrics like Spotify's total duration post-release.
Drake is expected to release his new album 'ICEMAN' in 2026.
This market will resolve based on the length of 'ICEMAN'.
The album length will be measured from the start of the first song to the end of the final song on the album once it is officially released in full.
Officially released means that 'ICEMAN' is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Any Drake album officially confirmed to be the 'ICEMAN' project will count, regardless of potential name changes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If 'ICEMAN' is not released by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify. If these sources disagree, this market will resolve solely based on the length of the album as released on Spotify.
This market will resolve based on the length of 'ICEMAN'.
The album length will be measured from the start of the first song to the end of the final song on the album once it is officially released in full.
Officially released means that 'ICEMAN' is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Any Drake album officially confirmed to be the 'ICEMAN' project will count, regardless of potential name changes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If 'ICEMAN' is not released by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify. If these sources disagree, this market will resolve solely based on the length of the album as released on Spotify.
交易量
$16,810结束日期
2026-05-15市场开放时间
Apr 23, 2026, 5:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors ICEMAN's runtime falling in the 60-70 minute range at 65% implied probability, driven by Drake's official tracklist reveal earlier this week confirming 18 songs for the ninth studio album, released today via OVO Sound and Republic Records alongside companion projects Habibti and Maid of Honour. With typical Drake track lengths averaging 3:30-4:00 minutes—mirroring For All the Dogs' 23-track, 55-minute structure but adjusted for fewer songs—traders anticipate a tight 68-minute total, positioning 50-60 minutes (45.5%) as the nearest rival amid debates over intros, skits, or extended outros. The 80-90 minute (41.5%) and 90+ (40.5%) buckets reflect lingering speculation from pre-release rumors of 20-26 tracks by DJ Akademiks, though the confirmed count has solidified shorter-run momentum. Market resolution hinges on official streaming platform metrics like Spotify's total duration post-release.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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