**USGS data confirm well over 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or greater occurred worldwide between August 10–16, 2026, producing the near-certain market-implied odds above 99% for the >13 outcome.** A notable 7.4 event struck Colombia on August 10, accompanied by additional M5.5+ shocks in Indonesia’s Flores Sea region, the Kermadec Islands, the Philippines, Alaska, and elsewhere. Daily global counts frequently exceeded the long-term average of roughly 8–12 such events per week, driven by ongoing tectonic activity along major plate boundaries. Trader consensus aligned early with preliminary catalog tallies and held as final USGS verification approached resolution. Only an extraordinary revision to the official record—such as widespread reclassification below 5.5—could realistically alter the result, an outcome with negligible probability given standard magnitude determination protocols.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月10日至8月16日发生了多少次5.5级或以上的地震？
8月10日至8月16日发生了多少次5.5级或以上的地震？
>13 99.8%
11 <1%
12 <1%
≤6 <1%
$43,483 交易量
$43,483 交易量
2026-08-09
≤6
<1%
7
<1%
8
<1%
9
<1%
10
<1%
11
1%
12
<1%
13
<1%
>13
100%
>13 99.8%
11 <1%
12 <1%
≤6 <1%
$43,483 交易量
$43,483 交易量
2026-08-09
≤6
$8,146 交易量
<1%
7
$1,403 交易量
<1%
8
$1,087 交易量
<1%
9
$1,684 交易量
<1%
10
$1,366 交易量
<1%
11
$2,918 交易量
1%
12
$4,403 交易量
<1%
13
$5,250 交易量
<1%
>13
$17,225 交易量
100%
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between August 10, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and August 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until August 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.**USGS data confirm well over 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or greater occurred worldwide between August 10–16, 2026, producing the near-certain market-implied odds above 99% for the >13 outcome.** A notable 7.4 event struck Colombia on August 10, accompanied by additional M5.5+ shocks in Indonesia’s Flores Sea region, the Kermadec Islands, the Philippines, Alaska, and elsewhere. Daily global counts frequently exceeded the long-term average of roughly 8–12 such events per week, driven by ongoing tectonic activity along major plate boundaries. Trader consensus aligned early with preliminary catalog tallies and held as final USGS verification approached resolution. Only an extraordinary revision to the official record—such as widespread reclassification below 5.5—could realistically alter the result, an outcome with negligible probability given standard magnitude determination protocols.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between August 10, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and August 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until August 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until August 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
市场开放时间： Aug 7, 2026, 10:55 AM ET
交易量
$43,483结束日期
2026-08-17市场开放时间
Aug 7, 2026, 10:55 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between August 10, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and August 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until August 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.**USGS data confirm well over 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or greater occurred worldwide between August 10–16, 2026, producing the near-certain market-implied odds above 99% for the >13 outcome.** A notable 7.4 event struck Colombia on August 10, accompanied by additional M5.5+ shocks in Indonesia’s Flores Sea region, the Kermadec Islands, the Philippines, Alaska, and elsewhere. Daily global counts frequently exceeded the long-term average of roughly 8–12 such events per week, driven by ongoing tectonic activity along major plate boundaries. Trader consensus aligned early with preliminary catalog tallies and held as final USGS verification approached resolution. Only an extraordinary revision to the official record—such as widespread reclassification below 5.5—could realistically alter the result, an outcome with negligible probability given standard magnitude determination protocols.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between August 10, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and August 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until August 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until August 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
交易量
$43,483结束日期
2026-08-17市场开放时间
Aug 7, 2026, 10:55 AM ET**USGS data confirm well over 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or greater occurred worldwide between August 10–16, 2026, producing the near-certain market-implied odds above 99% for the >13 outcome.** A notable 7.4 event struck Colombia on August 10, accompanied by additional M5.5+ shocks in Indonesia’s Flores Sea region, the Kermadec Islands, the Philippines, Alaska, and elsewhere. Daily global counts frequently exceeded the long-term average of roughly 8–12 such events per week, driven by ongoing tectonic activity along major plate boundaries. Trader consensus aligned early with preliminary catalog tallies and held as final USGS verification approached resolution. Only an extraordinary revision to the official record—such as widespread reclassification below 5.5—could realistically alter the result, an outcome with negligible probability given standard magnitude determination protocols.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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